California's 25th Congressional District special election, 2020
- Primary date: March 3
- Primary type: Top-two
- Registration deadline(s): Feb. 18
- Online registration: Yes
- Same-day registration: Yes
- Early voting starts: Varies locally
- Absentee/mail voting deadline(s): March 3 (postmarked); March 6 (received)
- Voter ID: No ID
- Poll times: 7 a.m. to 8 p.m.
117th →
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Regular election coverage |
2020 Congressional Elections 2020 U.S. Senate Elections 2020 U.S. House Elections |
Mike Garcia (R) won the May 12, 2020, special general election for California's 25th Congressional District after Christy Smith (D) conceded on May 13.[1] At the time Smith conceded, Garcia had received 56% of the vote to Smith's 44%.
Smith advanced from a field of 12 candidates in the March 3 top-two primary with 35.8% of the vote while Garcia advanced with 25.1%. The special election was called to fill the vacancy left by Katie Hill (D), who resigned her seat on November 1, 2019, amid allegations of extramarital relationships with staffers.[2] Smith and Garcia also ran in the regular election on November 3, 2020.
Smith said she would "work with both parties to make healthcare affordable, protect people with pre-existing conditions, and lower drug costs."[3] She also said she supported public health insurance for anyone who wants it.[4] Garcia campaigned on supporting the armed forces. He said he would "make it a priority to ensure our men and women in uniform have the funding and tools necessary to keep America safe."[5] Garcia also said he supported cutting taxes to grow the economy.[5]
In the 2018 general election, Hill (D) defeated then-incumbent Steve Knight (R) 54% to 46%. In 2016, Knight defeated Bryan Caforio (D) 53% to 47%. The 2017 Cook Partisan Voter Index for this district was even, meaning that in the previous two presidential elections, this district's results were within one percentage point of the national average.[6]
In response to the coronavirus pandemic, California Gov. Gavin Newsom signed an executive order providing for all-mail voting in the May 12 special election.[7] For more information on changes to election dates and procedures in response to the coronavirus, click here.
This race was one of 89 congressional races that were decided by 10 percent or less in 2020.
This page covers the special election. For coverage of the November 3, 2020, regularly scheduled election, click here.
There were 10 special elections called during the 116th Congress. Eight were called for seats in the U.S. House, and two for seats in the U.S. Senate. From the 113th Congress to the 115th Congress, 40 special elections were held. For more data on historical congressional special elections, click here.
Click on candidate names below to view their key messages:
Garcia |
Smith |
Candidates and election results
General election
Special general election for U.S. House California District 25
Candidate | % | Votes | ||
✔ | Mike Garcia (R) | 54.9 | 95,667 | |
Christy Smith (D) | 45.1 | 78,721 |
Total votes: 174,388 | ||||
= candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey. | ||||
If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey. | ||||
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Nonpartisan primary election
Special nonpartisan primary for U.S. House California District 25
Candidate | % | Votes | ||
✔ | Christy Smith (D) | 36.2 | 58,563 | |
✔ | Mike Garcia (R) | 25.4 | 41,169 | |
Stephen Knight (R) | 17.2 | 27,799 | ||
Cenk Uygur (D) | 6.6 | 10,609 | ||
Anibal Valdez-Ortega (D) | 4.6 | 7,368 | ||
Courtney Lackey (R) | 1.9 | 3,072 | ||
Robert Cooper (D) | 1.8 | 2,962 | ||
David Lozano (R) | 1.7 | 2,758 | ||
Daniel Mercuri (R) | 1.6 | 2,533 | ||
Kenneth Jenks (R) | 1.6 | 2,528 | ||
Getro Elize (D) | 0.9 | 1,414 | ||
David Rudnick (D) | 0.7 | 1,085 |
Total votes: 161,860 | ||||
= candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey. | ||||
If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey. | ||||
Do you want a spreadsheet of this type of data? Contact our sales team. |
Coronavirus pandemic |
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Ballotpedia’s coverage of COVID-19 includes how federal, state, and local governments are responding, and how those responses are influencing election rules and operations, political campaigns, the economy, schools, and more.
This page is updated monthly, but our email is always open. We encourage you to share updates from local officials, policymakers, and campaigns in your community at [email protected].
Both Smith and Garcia held online campaign events and encouraged volunteers to participate in phonebanking and other virtual campaign activities.[8] As of May 11, Smith's campaign website contained a COVID-19 resource center which contained information on healthcare, financial support, and social distancing. Garcia's campaign website contained a coronavirus resource center which included contact information for local agencies, information on healthcare, and resources for small businesses.
Voting in the May 12 election
- See also: Voting in California
This information was current as of 2:00 p.m. Pacific Time on May 11, 2020.
What changes have been made to voting procedure as a result of the pandemic?
- California Gov. Gavin Newsom (D) signed an executive order on March 20, 2020, mandating that all eligible voters receive a mail-in ballot without needing to request one. No changes were made to the mail-in ballot procedure, meaning that a completed ballot needed to be postmarked or deposited in a ballot return box 8:00 p.m. on Tuesday, May 12, in order to be valid.[9]
Can I vote in person?
- Yes. Selected in-person voting centers were open between 7:00 a.m. and 8:00 p.m. as normal the day of the election.[10] For more details, including a list of in-person voting centers, see the Los Angeles County and Ventura County voter guides.
Candidate profiles
This section includes candidate profiles created in one of two ways. Either the candidate completed Ballotpedia's Candidate Connection survey or Ballotpedia staff created a profile after identifying the candidate as noteworthy.[11] Ballotpedia staff compiled profiles based on campaign websites, advertisements, and public statements.
Mike Garcia
Party: Republican Party
Incumbent: Yes
Political Office: None
Submitted Biography: "First-generation American citizen, Mike Garcia is a highly decorated United States Naval Officer whose record-setting flying performance earned him the honor of becoming one of the first Super Hornet strike fighter pilots in the Navy. He flew over 30 combat missions during Operation Iraqi freedom. Accruing over 1400 hours of operational flight time during his nearly 20 years of military service to our country, Garcia decided to separate from the US Navy with an Honorable Discharge to focus on his family. Garcia moved back to the 25th District in 2009 and began to work for the Raytheon Company. During his now 10 years as an executive at Raytheon, Garcia has been responsible for the generation of billions of dollars of revenue and the creation of hundreds of jobs for his company and our district. Garcia is the husband to Rebecca Garcia, the owner of the Rebecca Rollins Interiors in Santa Clarita, and the father of Preston (age 13) and Jett (age 3). "
This information was current as of the candidate's run for U.S. House California District 25 in 2020.
Christy Smith
Party: Democratic Party
Incumbent: No
Political Office:
California State Assembly (Assumed office: 2018), Newhall School Board (2010-2018)
Biography: Before her election to the California State Assembly in 2018, Smith founded the Valencia Valley Technological Education Foundation, worked as a legislative vice president of the Santa Clarita Valley Trustees Association, and served as a delegate to the California School Board Association.
Show sources
This information was current as of the candidate's run for U.S. House California District 25 in 2020.
Polls
- See also: Ballotpedia's approach to covering polls
If you are aware of polls conducted in this race, please email us.
Campaign finance
The chart below contains data from financial reports submitted to the Federal Election Commission.
Name | Party | Receipts* | Disbursements** | Cash on hand | Date |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Christy Smith | Democratic Party | $0 | $0 | $0 | Data not available*** |
Mike Garcia | Republican Party | $0 | $0 | $0 | Data not available*** |
Source: Federal Elections Commission, "Campaign finance data," . This product uses the openFEC API but is not endorsed or certified by the Federal Election Commission (FEC).
* According to the FEC, "Receipts are anything of value (money, goods, services or property) received by a political committee." |
Satellite spending
Satellite spending, commonly referred to as outside spending, describes political spending not controlled by candidates or their campaigns; that is, any political expenditures made by groups or individuals that are not directly affiliated with a candidate. This includes spending by political party committees, super PACs, trade associations, and 501(c)(4) nonprofit groups.[12][13][14]
This section lists satellite spending in this race reported by news outlets in alphabetical order. If you are aware of spending that should be included, please email us.
- The DCCC launched a $930,000 cable ad buy on healthcare that criticized Garcia and supported Smith.[15]
- The NRCC spent $690,000 on cable and $330,000 on broadcast ad purchases that criticized Smith.[15]
Race ratings
- See also: Race rating definitions and methods
Ballotpedia provides race ratings from four outlets: The Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, Sabato's Crystal Ball, and DDHQ/The Hill. Each race rating indicates if one party is perceived to have an advantage in the race and, if so, the degree of advantage:
- Safe and Solid ratings indicate that one party has a clear edge and the race is not competitive.
- Likely ratings indicate that one party has a clear edge, but an upset is possible.
- Lean ratings indicate that one party has a small edge, but the race is competitive.[16]
- Toss-up ratings indicate that neither party has an advantage.
Race ratings are informed by a number of factors, including polling, candidate quality, and election result history in the race's district or state.[17][18][19]
Race ratings: California's 25th Congressional District election, 2020 | |||||||||
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Race tracker | Race ratings | ||||||||
November 3, 2020 | October 27, 2020 | October 20, 2020 | October 13, 2020 | ||||||
The Cook Political Report | Toss-up | Toss-up | Toss-up | Toss-up | |||||
Inside Elections with Nathan L. Gonzales | Toss-up | Toss-up | Toss-up | Toss-up | |||||
Larry J. Sabato's Crystal Ball | Lean Republican | Lean Republican | Lean Republican | Lean Republican | |||||
Note: Ballotpedia updates external race ratings every week throughout the election season. |
District analysis
- See also: The Cook Political Report's Partisan Voter Index
- See also: FiveThirtyEight's elasticity scores
The 2017 Cook Partisan Voter Index for this district was EVEN, meaning that in the previous two presidential elections, this district's results were within 1 percentage point of the national average. This made California's 25th Congressional District the 237th-most Republican nationally.[20]
FiveThirtyEight's September 2018 elasticity score for states and congressional districts measured "how sensitive it is to changes in the national political environment." This district's elasticity score was 0.97. This means that for every 1 point the national political mood moved toward a party, the district was expected to move 0.97 points toward that party.[21]
Noteworthy endorsements
This section lists noteworthy endorsements issued in this election, including those made by high-profile individuals and organizations, cross-party endorsements, and endorsements made by newspaper editorial boards. It also includes a bulleted list of links to official lists of endorsements for any candidates who published that information on their campaign websites. Please note that this list is not exhaustive. If you are aware of endorsements that should be included, please click here.
General election endorsements | ||
---|---|---|
Endorsement | Garcia | Smith |
Newspapers and editorials | ||
The Los Angeles Times[22] | ✔ | |
The Santa Clarita Valley Signal[23] | ✔ | |
Elected officials | ||
President Donald Trump[23] | ✔ | |
U.S. Sen. Elizabeth Warren[22] | ✔ | |
Individuals | ||
Former U.S. President Barack Obama[22] | ✔ | |
2016 Democratic Presidential Nominee Hillary Clinton[22] | ✔ | |
Former Congressman Steve Knight[23] | ✔ |
Campaign advertisements
This section shows advertisements released in this race. Ads released by campaigns and, if applicable, satellite groups are embedded or linked below. If you are aware of advertisements that should be included, please email us.
Mike Garcia
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Christy Smith
Supporting Smith
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Opposing Garcia
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Satellite group ads
Opposing Smith
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Supporting Smith
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Campaign themes
- See also: Campaign themes
The following campaign themes and policy positions were listed on the candidates' campaign websites in April 2020, if available.
Christy Smith
“ |
Improving Public Education Christy believes that a great education levels the playing field and creates more opportunity for all of our young people. That's why she has dedicated her career, particularly as a federal education policy expert and a member of her local school board, to improving schools and giving every student a fair chance through a world class education. In Congress, she will work to invest in local public classrooms so that we can hire more teachers and reduce class sizes, and pay teachers livable middle class wages. Christy also wants to ensure students have options after K-12, without going into a lifetime of debt. She wants to increase the affordability and availability of options like job training, apprenticeships, technical school, and more affordable public colleges and universities. Lowering Taxes for California Families Christy is committed to reinstating the State and Local Tax (SALT) deduction, which would lower taxes for California families, by up to $12,000 a year. As a member of the State Assembly, Christy opposed any changes to Proposition 13, the law that caps property tax costs for California homeowners. In 2018, Christy supported a measure that mandated tax revenue from the “gas tax” must be used solely on transportation-related infrastructure projects, not on the pet projects of politicians. Assemblywoman Christy Smith introduced AB 2379 which would create an annual tax exemption holiday for certain emergency supplies. Throughout her time in public service, Christy has fought to lower taxes and ensure that existing tax dollars are spent on the best interest of Californians. Christy will take that same sense of fiscal responsibility to Congress. Ending Corruption in Washington It's clear that big money is corrupting our political system. The voices of everyday Americans continue to be crowded out by special interests and corporate Super PACs, resulting in record low levels of trust in our government. The only way to fix it is to get dark, unaccountable money out of politics. Now more than ever, it’s critical that we hold Washington accountable and defend our democracy by fighting against the special interest money flooding into our nation’s capital. If we want a government that represents the will of the people and not special interests, we have to change the way we finance our campaigns. That’s why Christy supports ending the disastrous Citizens United decision, and refuses to accept a dime from Big Pharma, Big Oil, the Gun Lobby, Big Tobacco, any other federal corporate PAC money, or contributions from any federal lobbyist. She’s only going to be accountable to the thousands of people across the 25th District, not corporate special interests that have corrupted our politics and hurt our communities. Keeping Our Families and Communities Safe Our firefighters, paramedics, law enforcement officers, as well as other emergency responders are heroes who not only work to keep us safe, but are also on the front lines of addressing America’s mental health crisis. As Chair of the Joint Legislative Committee on Emergency Management, and the mother of two daughters, Christy has risen above party politics to deliver for California's first responders. In Congress, she will work to invest more in public safety so we can continue to reduce emergency response times and improve neighborhood security. As the climate crisis worsens, our fire danger is greater than ever and we need to equip our professionals with the tools and resources needed to respond. Making Health Care More Affordable and Available Health care is a human right and while the Affordable Care Act was a tremendous step in that direction, Christy believes we need to do more to reduce costs, ensure that every American has access to affordable healthcare, and protect those with pre-existing conditions. That’s why she supports a public health insurance option for anyone who wants it. Additionally, Christy believes we need to have the same consumer protections in the healthcare system as we do in any consumer market, which includes transparency when it comes to the real cost of healthcare treatments. She will work to shed light on pricing that for too long has been negotiated in the dark. Christy also believes that Congress needs to do the work of controlling the skyrocketing cost of health care, including the rising costs of prescription drugs. It’s unacceptable that US taxpayers subsidize the research and development of lifesaving drugs, only to pay more for them than people who live in Europe, Japan, and Canada. She'll also fight to protect Medicaid and Medicare, women's reproductive health care rights, and funding for Planned Parenthood. Advocating for Women and Families When women thrive, our families thrive. That's why Christy has always been a tireless fighter for women and families – from our schools to our state capitol and, now, to Washington. Christy is ready to stand up for equal pay for equal work and for affordable childcare, so families have a fair shot at success. She will ensure that women receive the same access to affordable health care as men. And Christy will always fight to protect a woman's right to choose and funding for Planned Parenthood and other providers who ensure that women have affordable options for a full range of reproductive health care. Growing the Middle Class and Small Businesses We need to get serious about creating better-paying jobs right here in our community so more middle-class families can prosper and don’t need to spend hours away from their families to commute to downtown Los Angeles. Christy Smith has a plan to do it. She believes we must make smart investments in transportation infrastructure, education, scientific research, and renewable and clean energy industries to create sustainable jobs in our community that will also pay the mortgage. She also believes we should do more to help people start and grow small businesses right here at home and give people the career skills they need by making colleges and trade schools more affordable and accessible, all the while ensuring that workers have the right to organize and have a voice in the workplace through unions. Taking on Corporate Polluters and the Climate Crisis Here in the 25th District, we are all too familiar with the emerging threat of the climate crisis -- experiencing wildfires in nearly every part of the district, air and water pollution, drought, and more. For too long, federal agencies have fallen short in their stewardship, so we must fight to ensure accountability and reform. We have a lot of work to do to protect the air our children breathe and water they drink here at home, including shutting down the Aliso Canyon gas facility and ensuring aggressive oversight of our district’s two toxic waste clean-up sites, Santa Susana Field Laboratory and Whittaker Bermite, and three landfills, Sunshine Canyon, Chiquita Canyon, and Simi Valley. We must also invest in building a fully renewable and clean energy infrastructure using wind and solar to create good mortgage-paying jobs and combat the climate crisis so we can ensure our community is a place where families can live and thrive for generations to come, before it’s too late. Enacting Gun Safety Measures As a mother, Christy believes that every one of us has the right to live without the fear of gun violence and protect our families. That’s why she will work to promote public safety in neighborhoods across the 25th District and America by stemming the tide of gun violence and fighting for comprehensive and mandatory universal background checks, a ban on assault weapons and high capacity magazines, “red flag” laws that allow families to ask courts to take guns away from domestic abusers and others who are a danger to themselves and others. Protecting Our Veterans and Seniors Christy will fight tirelessly to protect America’s veterans and seniors from exploitation and abuse in Washington. As Congresswoman, Christy will ensure that her office is assisting veterans and seniors with federal agencies through competent constituent services and outreach. She will defend Social Security and Medicare from extremist attacks and work to fix the VA to ensure that our veterans get the benefits and care that they earned. Building Housing that's Affordable for Families All across the country, but particularly in California, the cost of living is skyrocketing, pushing working class families out of their homes and communities and displacing small businesses. We need to tackle this crisis head-on by investing in more affordable housing and developing a comprehensive national strategy to combat homelessness, including increased funding for shelters, health care and mental health services. Ensuring Human Rights for All In Congress, Christy will fight for equality in every aspect of our society, including equal pay for equal work, protections for women in the workplace and against domestic violence, civil rights protections for LGBTQ people, as well as ensuring non-discrimination in housing, employment, and public accommodation. Common Sense Immigration Reform Our immigration system is dangerously broken and desperately needs reforms that work for all of us. We need to take steps to increase border security to protect against criminal activity and also create a path to citizenship for law-abiding residents who live here and contribute here. America’s strength is our diversity. In Congress, Christy will be dedicated to defending immigrant communities, including DREAMers and refugees from abuse and protect their basic human rights. Separating children from their families and putting them in cages is outrageous and un-American. Christy believes that immigration is fundamentally a humanitarian issue and should be handled with compassion delivered through a much more robust system. We need more judges on the border to process cases in a more fair and rapid manner.[24] |
” |
—Christy Smith's 2020 campaign website[4] |
Mike Garcia
“ |
National Security Garcia knows firsthand the important role that the United States plays around the world as a force for good, but that the first priority must always be national security and protecting the homeland, to include securing and better surveillance of our borders. Mike Garcia will make it a priority to ensure our men and women in uniform have the funding and tools necessary to keep America safe, and only send them into battle when it is absolutely necessary Term Limits Garcia supports term limits because it’s time to get rid of the career politicians in both parties. Washington, DC truly is a swamp, filled with career politicians who are more concerned with their next election than making tough decisions. The Founding Fathers wanted citizens to step up and serve their community in office for a brief period and then make way for new representation before they lost touch with their constituency. National Debt The $22 trillion in debt is unsustainable and will be back breaking in the long run. Unless we do something about it, the interest payments on our debt will soon exceed the military budget and Medicaid. That poses problems for readiness and national security. Navy Admiral and Former Chairman of the Joint Chiefs Michael Mullen has said that “the single, biggest threat to our national security is debt.” Socialism Mike Garcia is a first-generation American citizen whose family came to the United States legally for more opportunity and for a shot at the American Dream. Garcia knows what’s at stake, and he’ll fight against Democrats’ dangerous socialist agenda and restore our country’s guiding principles, most importantly freedom, that he helped protect in his 20 years as a Naval Officer. Economy and Jobs With a proven track record as a leader of job creation and winning new business, while also advocating for and promoting minorities and women, Mike Garcia knows what it takes to be successful and contribute to the economy. Garcia knows that our economy is strong in spite of government, not because of it. Mike Garcia will go to Congress and go to bat for our community to create a climate that brings good paying jobs and economic activity. Taxes Tax and spend, big government, and bloated bureaucracy – that’s the big three in Washington and Sacramento. Tax cuts are working for the country, but California taxpayers are being unfairly punished for their zip code. Californians are getting squeezed by higher property and gas taxes. California and the federal government have a spending problem, not a revenue problem. Smaller government and lower taxes are the keys to strong economic growth.[24] |
” |
—Mike Garcia's 2020 campaign website[5] |
Pivot Counties
- See also: Pivot Counties by state
There are no Pivot Counties in California. Pivot Counties are counties that voted for Barack Obama (D) in 2008 and 2012 and for Donald Trump (R) in 2016. Altogether, the nation had 206 Pivot Counties, with most being concentrated in upper midwestern and northeastern states.
In the 2016 presidential election, Hillary Clinton (D) won California with 61.7 percent of the vote. Donald Trump (R) received 31.6 percent. In presidential elections between 1900 and 2016, California voted Republican 53.33 percent of the time and Democratic 43.33 percent of the time. In the five presidential elections between 2000 and 2016, California voted Democratic all five times. In 2016, California had 55 electoral votes, which was the most of any state. The 55 electoral votes were 10.2 percent of all 538 available electoral votes and were 20.4 percent of the 270 electoral votes needed to win the election.
Presidential results by legislative district
The following table details results of the 2012 and 2016 presidential elections by state Assembly districts in California. Click [show] to expand the table. The "Obama," "Romney," "Clinton," and "Trump" columns describe the percent of the vote each presidential candidate received in the district. The "2012 Margin" and "2016 Margin" columns describe the margin of victory between the two presidential candidates in those years. The "Party Control" column notes which party held that seat heading into the 2018 general election. Data on the results of the 2012 and 2016 presidential elections broken down by state legislative districts was compiled by Daily Kos.[25][26]
In 2012, Barack Obama (D) won 58 out of 80 state Assembly districts in California with an average margin of victory of 38.4 points. In 2016, Hillary Clinton (D) won 66 out of 80 state Assembly districts in California with an average margin of victory of 40.3 points. Clinton won 11 districts controlled by Republicans heading into the 2018 elections. |
In 2012, Mitt Romney (R) won 22 out of 80 state Assembly districts in California with an average margin of victory of 12.2 points. In 2016, Donald Trump (R) won 14 out of 80 state Assembly districts in California with an average margin of victory of 13 points. |
2016 Presidential Results by State Assembly District | |||||||
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District | Obama | Romney | 2012 Margin | Clinton | Trump | 2016 Margin | Party Control |
1 | 39.63% | 57.31% | R+17.7 | 36.09% | 56.75% | R+20.7 | R |
2 | 64.68% | 30.51% | D+34.2 | 62.20% | 28.98% | D+33.2 | D |
3 | 42.41% | 54.46% | R+12.1 | 39.47% | 53.31% | R+13.8 | R |
4 | 63.16% | 33.86% | D+29.3 | 63.03% | 29.95% | D+33.1 | D |
5 | 41.27% | 55.92% | R+14.7 | 38.51% | 54.85% | R+16.3 | R |
6 | 38.59% | 59.09% | R+20.5 | 41.17% | 52.02% | R+10.9 | R |
7 | 67.59% | 29.61% | D+38 | 67.63% | 25.69% | D+41.9 | D |
8 | 51.72% | 45.62% | D+6.1 | 51.77% | 41.03% | D+10.7 | D |
9 | 60.56% | 37.52% | D+23 | 61.47% | 32.89% | D+28.6 | D |
10 | 73.76% | 23.28% | D+50.5 | 75.65% | 17.96% | D+57.7 | D |
11 | 60.96% | 36.87% | D+24.1 | 58.86% | 35.17% | D+23.7 | D |
12 | 45.19% | 52.50% | R+7.3 | 43.11% | 51.05% | R+7.9 | R |
13 | 64.23% | 33.88% | D+30.4 | 62.97% | 31.79% | D+31.2 | D |
14 | 68.80% | 28.72% | D+40.1 | 69.55% | 24.47% | D+45.1 | D |
15 | 86.82% | 9.56% | D+77.3 | 87.39% | 7.04% | D+80.4 | D |
16 | 57.74% | 40.10% | D+17.6 | 64.47% | 29.23% | D+35.2 | R |
17 | 87.07% | 9.36% | D+77.7 | 88.12% | 6.95% | D+81.2 | D |
18 | 86.89% | 10.23% | D+76.7 | 85.89% | 8.44% | D+77.5 | D |
19 | 78.94% | 18.38% | D+60.6 | 81.63% | 13.34% | D+68.3 | D |
20 | 75.74% | 22.15% | D+53.6 | 75.52% | 19.12% | D+56.4 | D |
21 | 55.61% | 42.03% | D+13.6 | 54.63% | 39.46% | D+15.2 | D |
22 | 71.43% | 26.31% | D+45.1 | 75.16% | 19.75% | D+55.4 | D |
23 | 43.46% | 54.71% | R+11.2 | 43.95% | 50.78% | R+6.8 | R |
24 | 72.16% | 24.96% | D+47.2 | 78.19% | 15.93% | D+62.3 | D |
25 | 72.40% | 25.26% | D+47.1 | 73.61% | 20.90% | D+52.7 | D |
26 | 41.15% | 56.68% | R+15.5 | 41.54% | 52.93% | R+11.4 | R |
27 | 76.36% | 21.54% | D+54.8 | 77.76% | 17.29% | D+60.5 | D |
28 | 66.64% | 30.77% | D+35.9 | 70.63% | 23.08% | D+47.6 | D |
29 | 69.95% | 26.66% | D+43.3 | 70.00% | 22.96% | D+47 | D |
30 | 66.99% | 30.86% | D+36.1 | 66.70% | 27.32% | D+39.4 | D |
31 | 61.98% | 36.21% | D+25.8 | 62.13% | 32.93% | D+29.2 | D |
32 | 56.20% | 41.81% | D+14.4 | 56.50% | 37.98% | D+18.5 | D |
33 | 41.80% | 55.51% | R+13.7 | 40.02% | 54.61% | R+14.6 | R |
34 | 33.96% | 63.85% | R+29.9 | 34.07% | 60.21% | R+26.1 | R |
35 | 47.82% | 49.42% | R+1.6 | 49.57% | 43.43% | D+6.1 | R |
36 | 48.79% | 48.48% | D+0.3 | 49.94% | 43.86% | D+6.1 | R |
37 | 60.97% | 36.28% | D+24.7 | 64.27% | 29.21% | D+35.1 | D |
38 | 46.73% | 50.84% | R+4.1 | 49.64% | 44.39% | D+5.2 | R |
39 | 73.75% | 23.67% | D+50.1 | 74.64% | 19.80% | D+54.8 | D |
40 | 53.14% | 44.72% | D+8.4 | 54.08% | 40.01% | D+14.1 | R |
41 | 59.74% | 37.72% | D+22 | 62.82% | 31.27% | D+31.5 | D |
42 | 44.98% | 52.93% | R+7.9 | 45.61% | 49.70% | R+4.1 | R |
43 | 67.35% | 29.62% | D+37.7 | 68.94% | 25.45% | D+43.5 | D |
44 | 52.37% | 45.51% | D+6.9 | 57.12% | 36.99% | D+20.1 | D |
45 | 63.46% | 34.12% | D+29.3 | 67.36% | 27.39% | D+40 | D |
46 | 73.73% | 23.65% | D+50.1 | 76.20% | 18.48% | D+57.7 | D |
47 | 71.49% | 26.54% | D+44.9 | 70.10% | 24.80% | D+45.3 | D |
48 | 64.08% | 33.44% | D+30.6 | 65.60% | 28.50% | D+37.1 | D |
49 | 64.69% | 33.26% | D+31.4 | 67.57% | 27.17% | D+40.4 | D |
50 | 70.79% | 26.51% | D+44.3 | 76.72% | 18.33% | D+58.4 | D |
51 | 83.48% | 13.50% | D+70 | 84.05% | 10.19% | D+73.9 | D |
52 | 65.01% | 32.92% | D+32.1 | 65.78% | 28.71% | D+37.1 | D |
53 | 84.64% | 12.59% | D+72 | 84.83% | 9.63% | D+75.2 | D |
54 | 83.62% | 13.88% | D+69.7 | 85.15% | 10.12% | D+75 | D |
55 | 45.77% | 52.23% | R+6.5 | 49.92% | 44.61% | D+5.3 | R |
56 | 62.14% | 36.26% | D+25.9 | 64.21% | 31.24% | D+33 | D |
57 | 63.71% | 34.01% | D+29.7 | 65.92% | 28.39% | D+37.5 | D |
58 | 70.24% | 27.80% | D+42.4 | 72.54% | 22.26% | D+50.3 | D |
59 | 93.24% | 5.19% | D+88 | 90.70% | 5.09% | D+85.6 | D |
60 | 51.32% | 46.31% | D+5 | 52.48% | 41.97% | D+10.5 | D |
61 | 63.43% | 34.55% | D+28.9 | 62.47% | 31.62% | D+30.9 | D |
62 | 80.81% | 17.00% | D+63.8 | 82.05% | 13.06% | D+69 | D |
63 | 76.06% | 21.73% | D+54.3 | 77.35% | 17.38% | D+60 | D |
64 | 88.74% | 9.98% | D+78.8 | 86.21% | 9.61% | D+76.6 | D |
65 | 51.90% | 45.68% | D+6.2 | 56.73% | 37.28% | D+19.4 | D |
66 | 54.18% | 43.24% | D+10.9 | 59.97% | 33.60% | D+26.4 | D |
67 | 39.61% | 58.33% | R+18.7 | 38.89% | 55.94% | R+17.1 | R |
68 | 42.55% | 55.12% | R+12.6 | 49.42% | 44.58% | D+4.8 | R |
69 | 67.37% | 30.30% | D+37.1 | 71.94% | 22.33% | D+49.6 | D |
70 | 67.38% | 29.93% | D+37.5 | 68.13% | 25.09% | D+43 | D |
71 | 38.47% | 59.51% | R+21 | 38.19% | 56.26% | R+18.1 | R |
72 | 46.71% | 51.06% | R+4.4 | 51.40% | 43.13% | D+8.3 | R |
73 | 38.68% | 59.36% | R+20.7 | 43.89% | 50.38% | R+6.5 | R |
74 | 45.14% | 52.42% | R+7.3 | 50.71% | 43.29% | D+7.4 | R |
75 | 39.42% | 58.50% | R+19.1 | 43.22% | 50.68% | R+7.5 | R |
76 | 48.76% | 49.04% | R+0.3 | 53.11% | 40.38% | D+12.7 | R |
77 | 48.25% | 49.83% | R+1.6 | 55.16% | 38.94% | D+16.2 | R |
78 | 63.15% | 34.08% | D+29.1 | 67.48% | 25.85% | D+41.6 | D |
79 | 61.21% | 36.91% | D+24.3 | 64.24% | 30.04% | D+34.2 | D |
80 | 69.47% | 28.67% | D+40.8 | 73.15% | 21.34% | D+51.8 | D |
Total | 60.35% | 37.19% | D+23.2 | 62.25% | 31.89% | D+30.4 | - |
Source: Daily Kos |
Candidate ballot access
The table below details filing requirements for 25th Congressional District candidates in California in the 2020 election cycle. For additional information on candidate ballot access requirements in California, click here.
Filing requirements, 2020 | ||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
State | Office | Party | Signatures required | Signature formula | Filing fee | Filing fee formula | Filing deadline | Source |
California | 25th Congressional District | All candidates | 2,000 | Fixed number | $1,740.00 | 1% of annual salary | 12/6/2019 | Source |
District history
2018
General election
General election for U.S. House California District 25
Katie Hill defeated incumbent Stephen Knight in the general election for U.S. House California District 25 on November 6, 2018.
Candidate | % | Votes | ||
✔ | Katie Hill (D) | 54.4 | 133,209 | |
Stephen Knight (R) | 45.6 | 111,813 |
Total votes: 245,022 | ||||
= candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey. | ||||
If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey. | ||||
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Nonpartisan primary election
Nonpartisan primary for U.S. House California District 25
Incumbent Stephen Knight and Katie Hill defeated Bryan Caforio, Jess Phoenix, and Mary Pallant in the primary for U.S. House California District 25 on June 5, 2018.
Candidate | % | Votes | ||
✔ | Stephen Knight (R) | 51.8 | 61,411 | |
✔ | Katie Hill (D) | 20.7 | 24,507 | |
Bryan Caforio (D) | 18.4 | 21,821 | ||
Jess Phoenix (D) | 6.4 | 7,549 | ||
Mary Pallant (D) | 2.7 | 3,157 |
Total votes: 118,445 | ||||
= candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey. | ||||
If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey. | ||||
Do you want a spreadsheet of this type of data? Contact our sales team. |
Withdrawn or disqualified candidates
- Diedra Greenaway (D)
- Daniel Fleming (D)
- Kelan Farrell-Smith (D)
- Michael Masterman-Smith (D)
- Scott McVarish (D)
2016
The district was a battleground race in 2016.
California's 25th Congressional District was a battleground district in 2016. Incumbent Stephen Knight (R) won re-election to his second term in 2016. He defeated Bryan Caforio (D) in the general election on November 8, 2016. Knight and Caforio defeated Jeffrey Moffatt (R) and Lou Vince (D) in the top-two primary on June 7, 2016.[27][28][29][30][31][32]
Party | Candidate | Vote % | Votes | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | Stephen Knight Incumbent | 53.1% | 138,755 | |
Democratic | Bryan Caforio | 46.9% | 122,406 | |
Total Votes | 261,161 | |||
Source: California Secretary of State |
Party | Candidate | Vote % | Votes | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | Stephen Knight Incumbent | 48.3% | 63,769 | |
Democratic | Bryan Caforio | 29.1% | 38,382 | |
Democratic | Lou Vince | 15.4% | 20,327 | |
Republican | Jeffrey Moffatt | 7.3% | 9,620 | |
Total Votes | 132,098 | |||
Source: California Secretary of State |
Click [show] for previous cycle election results. | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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2014
2012
2010On November 2, 2010, Buck McKeon won re-election to the United States House. He defeated Jackie Conaway (D) in the general election.[33]
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State profile
- See also: California and California elections, 2020
Partisan data
The information in this section was current as of January 23, 2020
Presidential voting pattern
- California voted for the Democratic candidate in all six presidential elections between 2000 and 2020.
Congressional delegation
- Both U.S. Senators from California were Democrats.
- California had 45 Democratic and six Republican U.S. Representatives, with two vacancies.
State executives
- Democrats held 10 and Republicans held one of California's 21 state executive offices. Elections for the other offices are nonpartisan.
- California's governor was Gavin Newsom (D).
State legislature
- Democrats controlled the California State Senate with a 29-10 majority, with one vacancy.
- Democrats controlled the California State Assembly with a 61-19 majority.
California Party Control: 1992-2024
Nineteen years of Democratic trifectas • No Republican trifectas
Scroll left and right on the table below to view more years.
Year | 92 | 93 | 94 | 95 | 96 | 97 | 98 | 99 | 00 | 01 | 02 | 03 | 04 | 05 | 06 | 07 | 08 | 09 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Governor | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | D | D | D | D | D | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D |
Senate | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D |
Assembly | D | D | D | S | R | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D |
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|
Demographic data for California | ||
---|---|---|
California | U.S. | |
Total population: | 38,993,940 | 316,515,021 |
Land area (sq mi): | 155,779 | 3,531,905 |
Race and ethnicity** | ||
White: | 61.8% | 73.6% |
Black/African American: | 5.9% | 12.6% |
Asian: | 13.7% | 5.1% |
Native American: | 0.7% | 0.8% |
Pacific Islander: | 0.4% | 0.2% |
Two or more: | 4.5% | 3% |
Hispanic/Latino: | 38.4% | 17.1% |
Education | ||
High school graduation rate: | 81.8% | 86.7% |
College graduation rate: | 31.4% | 29.8% |
Income | ||
Median household income: | $61,818 | $53,889 |
Persons below poverty level: | 18.2% | 11.3% |
Source: U.S. Census Bureau, "American Community Survey" (5-year estimates 2010-2015) Click here for more information on the 2020 census and here for more on its impact on the redistricting process in California. **Note: Percentages for race and ethnicity may add up to more than 100 percent because respondents may report more than one race and the Hispanic/Latino ethnicity may be selected in conjunction with any race. Read more about race and ethnicity in the census here. |
See also
- Special elections to the 116th United States Congress (2019-2020)
- California's 25th Congressional District election, 2020
- California's 25th Congressional District
- Katie Hill
External links
Footnotes
- ↑ Washington Post, "Republican Mike Garcia wins Democratic-held House seat in California in a boost for GOP," May 13, 2020
- ↑ CBS News, "Katie Hill, California congresswoman, resigns amid allegations of affairs with staff," October 27, 2019
- ↑ The Hill, "California Democrat Christy Smith launches first TV ad in bid for Katie Hill's former House seat," accessed January 28, 2020
- ↑ 4.0 4.1 Christy Smith's 2020 campaign website, "Priorities," accessed April 28, 2020
- ↑ 5.0 5.1 5.2 Mike Garcia's 2020 campaign website, "Issues," accessed April 28, 2020
- ↑ Cook Political Report, "Introducing the 2017 Cook Political Report Partisan Voter Index," April 7, 2017
- ↑ Cite error: Invalid
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- ↑ CNN, "'All of it presents a challenge': Down ballot candidates grapple with impact of coronavirus," March 14, 2020
- ↑ Palm Springs Desert Sun, "Coronavirus: May special election for State Senate will be all vote-by-mail, Newsom says," March 21, 2020
- ↑ LAist, "CA-25 Special Election: Who Will Represent This District During The Coronavirus Pandemic And Recovery?" April 23, 2020
- ↑ Candidate Connection surveys completed before September 26, 2019, were not used to generate candidate profiles. In battleground primaries, Ballotpedia based its selection of noteworthy candidates on polling, fundraising, and noteworthy endorsements. In battleground general elections, all major party candidates and any other candidates with the potential to impact the outcome of the race were included.
- ↑ OpenSecrets.org, "Outside Spending," accessed September 22, 2015
- ↑ OpenSecrets.org, "Total Outside Spending by Election Cycle, All Groups," accessed September 22, 2015
- ↑ National Review.com, "Why the Media Hate Super PACs," November 6, 2015
- ↑ 15.0 15.1 Politico, "Ad wars begin in California House special election," accessed April 9, 2020
- ↑ Inside Elections also uses Tilt ratings to indicate an even smaller advantage and greater competitiveness.
- ↑ Amee LaTour, "Email correspondence with Nathan Gonzalez," April 19, 2018
- ↑ Amee LaTour, "Email correspondence with Kyle Kondik," April 19, 2018
- ↑ Amee LaTour, "Email correspondence with Charlie Cook," April 22, 2018
- ↑ Cook Political Report, "Introducing the 2017 Cook Political Report Partisan Voter Index," April 7, 2017
- ↑ FiveThirtyEight, "Election Update: The Most (And Least) Elastic States And Districts," September 6, 2018
- ↑ 22.0 22.1 22.2 22.3 Christy Smith's 2020 campaign website, "Endorsements," accessed January 22, 2020
- ↑ 23.0 23.1 23.2 Mike Garcia's 2020 campaign website, "Endorsements," accessed January 22, 2020
- ↑ 24.0 24.1 Note: This text is quoted verbatim from the original source. Any inconsistencies are attributable to the original source.
- ↑ Daily Kos, "Daily Kos Elections' statewide election results by congressional and legislative districts," July 9, 2013
- ↑ Daily Kos, "Daily Kos Elections' 2016 presidential results for congressional and legislative districts," February 6, 2017
- ↑ Los Angeles Times, "Democrat Lou Vince says he will challenge Rep. Stephen Knight," April 30, 2015
- ↑ Daily KOS, "Daily Kos Elections Morning Digest: Steve Knight might be the one who gets 'dropped on his ass'," April 23, 2015
- ↑ Evan Thomas' campaign website, "2016 campaign announcement," June 25, 2015
- ↑ Los Angeles Times, "Democratic lawyer announcing challenge to GOP Rep. Steve Knight," December 10, 2015
- ↑ California Secretary of State, "Certified List of Candidates for Voter-Nominated Offices June 7, 2016, Presidential Primary Election," accessed April 4, 2016
- ↑ The New York Times, "California Primary Results," June 7, 2016
- ↑ U.S. Congress House Clerk, "Statistics of the Congressional Election of November 2, 2010," accessed March 28, 2013