Arizona's 5th Congressional District election, 2024
← 2022
|
Arizona's 5th Congressional District |
---|
Democratic primary Republican primary General election |
Election details |
Filing deadline: April 1, 2024 |
Primary: July 30, 2024 General: November 5, 2024 |
How to vote |
Poll times: 6 a.m. to 7 p.m. Voting in Arizona |
Race ratings |
DDHQ and The Hill: Safe Republican Inside Elections: Solid Republican Sabato's Crystal Ball: Safe Republican |
Ballotpedia analysis |
U.S. Senate battlegrounds U.S. House battlegrounds Federal and state primary competitiveness Ballotpedia's Election Analysis Hub, 2024 |
See also |
U.S. Senate • 1st • 2nd • 3rd • 4th • 5th • 6th • 7th • 8th • 9th Arizona elections, 2024 U.S. Congress elections, 2024 U.S. Senate elections, 2024 U.S. House elections, 2024 |
All U.S. House districts, including the 5th Congressional District of Arizona, held elections in 2024. The general election was November 5, 2024. The primary was July 30, 2024. The filing deadline was April 1, 2024.
All 435 U.S. House seats were up for election in 2024. At the time of the election, Republicans had a 220 to 212 majority with three vacancies.[1] Forty-five members of the U.S. House did not run for re-election. To read more about the 2024 U.S. House elections, click here.
In the 2022 election in this district, the Republican candidate won 56.7%-37.4%. Daily Kos calculated what the results of the 2020 presidential election in this district would have been following redistricting. Donald Trump (R) would have defeated Joe Biden (D) 57.4%-41.0%.[2]
For more information about the primaries in this election, click on the links below:
- Arizona's 5th Congressional District election, 2024 (July 30 Democratic primary)
- Arizona's 5th Congressional District election, 2024 (July 30 Republican primary)
Candidates and election results
General election
General election for U.S. House Arizona District 5
Incumbent Andy Biggs defeated Katrina Schaffner in the general election for U.S. House Arizona District 5 on November 5, 2024.
Candidate | % | Votes | ||
✔ | Andy Biggs (R) | 59.6 | 170,601 | |
Katrina Schaffner (D) | 40.4 | 115,774 |
Total votes: 286,375 | ||||
= candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey. | ||||
If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey. | ||||
Do you want a spreadsheet of this type of data? Contact our sales team. |
Withdrawn or disqualified candidates
- Clint Smith (Independent)
- Evan Olson (Independent)
Democratic primary election
Democratic primary for U.S. House Arizona District 5
Katrina Schaffner advanced from the Democratic primary for U.S. House Arizona District 5 on July 30, 2024.
Candidate | % | Votes | ||
✔ | Katrina Schaffner | 100.0 | 42,396 |
Total votes: 42,396 | ||||
= candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey. | ||||
If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey. | ||||
Do you want a spreadsheet of this type of data? Contact our sales team. |
Republican primary election
Republican primary for U.S. House Arizona District 5
Incumbent Andy Biggs advanced from the Republican primary for U.S. House Arizona District 5 on July 30, 2024.
Candidate | % | Votes | ||
✔ | Andy Biggs | 100.0 | 91,820 |
Total votes: 91,820 | ||||
= candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey. | ||||
If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey. | ||||
Do you want a spreadsheet of this type of data? Contact our sales team. |
Withdrawn or disqualified candidates
- Alex Stovall (R)
- Casey Michel (R)
Candidate profiles
This section includes candidate profiles that may be created in one of two ways: either the candidate completed Ballotpedia's Candidate Connection survey, or Ballotpedia staff may compile a profile based on campaign websites, advertisements, and public statements after identifying the candidate as noteworthy. For more on how we select candidates to include, click here.
Party: Democratic Party
Incumbent: No
Political Office: None
Submitted Biography: "I worked in a business environment, worked in the trades as a stylist and then became a stay-at-home mom. As I watched our nation’s leaders spread Russian propaganda and vote for Russia's interests over our own citizens, I became frustrated. I decided that doing nothing was not an option and channeled that energy into activism. To fight for freedom over fascism. I watched as Arizonans began to pay higher than average cost of living. My frustration grew over our lack of domestic policies that support ordinary citizens, like myself. I realized I needed to channel that energy into Arizona and fight for an economy that works for the average family. Now, I am a mom, stylist, activist, and a candidate for the House of Representatives."
This information was current as of the candidate's run for U.S. House Arizona District 5 in 2024.
Voting information
- See also: Voting in Arizona
Ballotpedia's Candidate Connection survey responses
Ballotpedia asks all federal, state, and local candidates to complete a survey and share what motivates them on political and personal levels. The section below shows responses from candidates in this race who completed Ballotpedia's Candidate Connection survey. Candidates are asked three required questions for this survey, but they may answer additional optional questions as well.
Survey responses from candidates in this race
Click on a candidate's name to visit their Ballotpedia page.
Note: Ballotpedia reserves the right to edit Candidate Connection survey responses. Any edits made by Ballotpedia will be clearly marked with [brackets] for the public. If the candidate disagrees with an edit, he or she may request the full removal of the survey response from Ballotpedia.org. Ballotpedia does not edit or correct typographical errors unless the candidate's campaign requests it.
Collapse all
|Doing nothing is not an option. It's time to fight for freedom over fascism
Wealth inequality in this country is growing. We need to stop overspending on temporary fixes and invest in long term solutions to help build our middle class.
Campaign finance
Name | Party | Receipts* | Disbursements** | Cash on hand | Date |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Andy Biggs | Republican Party | $1,312,075 | $1,053,962 | $493,585 | As of October 16, 2024 |
Katrina Schaffner | Democratic Party | $69,746 | $68,856 | $34,699 | As of November 15, 2024 |
Source: Federal Elections Commission, "Campaign finance data," 2024. This product uses the openFEC API but is not endorsed or certified by the Federal Election Commission (FEC).
* According to the FEC, "Receipts are anything of value (money, goods, services or property) received by a political committee." |
General election race ratings
- See also: Race rating definitions and methods
Ballotpedia provides race ratings from four outlets: The Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, Sabato's Crystal Ball, and DDHQ/The Hill. Each race rating indicates if one party is perceived to have an advantage in the race and, if so, the degree of advantage:
- Safe and Solid ratings indicate that one party has a clear edge and the race is not competitive.
- Likely ratings indicate that one party has a clear edge, but an upset is possible.
- Lean ratings indicate that one party has a small edge, but the race is competitive.[3]
- Toss-up ratings indicate that neither party has an advantage.
Race ratings are informed by a number of factors, including polling, candidate quality, and election result history in the race's district or state.[4][5][6]
Race ratings: Arizona's 5th Congressional District election, 2024 | |||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Race tracker | Race ratings | ||||||||
November 5, 2024 | October 29, 2024 | October 22, 2024 | October 15, 2024 | ||||||
The Cook Political Report with Amy Walter | Solid Republican | Solid Republican | Solid Republican | Solid Republican | |||||
Decision Desk HQ and The Hill | Safe Republican | Safe Republican | Safe Republican | Safe Republican | |||||
Inside Elections with Nathan L. Gonzales | Solid Republican | Solid Republican | Solid Republican | Solid Republican | |||||
Larry J. Sabato's Crystal Ball | Safe Republican | Safe Republican | Safe Republican | Safe Republican | |||||
Note: Ballotpedia reviews external race ratings every week throughout the election season and posts weekly updates even if the media outlets have not revised their ratings during that week. |
Noteworthy ballot measures
- See also: Arizona 2024 ballot measures
Arizona had 12 ballot measures on the November 5, 2024, ballot. Two notable ones were Proposition 139, which would have provided for a state constitutional right to an abortion, and Proposition 314, which would have allowed law enforcement to arrest any noncitizens who cross the border unlawfully.
Observers and officials commented on whether the amendments would affect voter turnout statewide.
- Consultant Marcus Dell'Artino said the abortion amendment could increase turnout among young voters: “A measure like this in a presidential year number one, and two an issue as personal as abortion, certainly moves those younger voters 18 and older to get out and vote.”[7]
- Democratic strategist Tony Cani said between the two amendments, abortion would be a bigger driver of turnout: "The types of voters who are motivated by the abortion initiative tend to be younger, tend to be women, tend to be voters that in the past have needed more of a reason to show up to the polls. And so I think that on balance, if you’re looking at the two, that the abortion initiative is probably going to drive turnout more."[8]
- Republican consultant Barrett Marson said that the economy would be a more salient issue for voters: “The economy is going to play a much greater role in how people vote — try to get a mortgage around here, try to get a car loan at a reasonable rate. People are unhappy with those metrics right now.”[9]
- On the effect of the immigration measure, U.S. Senate candidate Mark Lamb (R) said, “This would certainly help draw Republican voters out.”[10]
- NPR's Ben Giles said the immigration measure "might drive Republican turnout, but it also might drive turnout among groups who are against this immigration law and then might also vote for Democratic candidates when they head to the polls in November."[11]
- Republican political analyst Sean Noble said: “I think that the people who care about immigration are gonna be motivated to come out for, to vote for Donald Trump just as much as they would for immigration... So I don’t think that the immigration issue on the ballot is gonna actually impact turnout.”[12]
Arizona Right to Abortion Initiative
A "yes" vote supported amending the state constitution to provide for the fundamental right to abortion, among other provisions. |
A "no" vote opposed amending the state constitution to provide for the fundamental right to an abortion. |
To read more about supporters and opponents of the initiative, along with their arguments, click on the box below.
Arizona Immigration and Border Law Enforcement Measure
A "yes" vote supported:
|
A "no" vote opposed making the above changes to state law regarding immigration, border law enforcement, and sale of fentanyl. |
To read more about supporters and opponents of the initiative, along with their arguments, click on the box below.
Ballot access
The table below details filing requirements for U.S. House candidates in Arizona in the 2024 election cycle. For additional information on candidate ballot access requirements in Arizona, click here.
Filing requirements for U.S. House candidates, 2024 | ||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
State | Office | Party | Signatures required | Filing fee | Filing deadline | Source |
Arizona | U.S. House | Democratic | 1,458[15] | N/A | 4/1/2024 | Source |
Arizona | U.S. House | Republican | 1,572[15] | N/A | 4/1/2024 | Source |
Arizona | U.S. House | Libertarian | 802[15] | N/A | 4/1/2024 | Source |
Arizona | U.S. House | Unaffiliated | 4,701[15] | N/A | 4/1/2024 | Source |
District analysis
Click the tabs below to view information about voter composition, past elections, and demographics in both the district and the state.
- District map - A map of the district in place for the election.
- Competitiveness - Information about the competitiveness of 2024 U.S. House elections in the state.
- Presidential elections - Information about presidential elections in the district and the state.
- State party control - The partisan makeup of the state's congressional delegation and state government.
Below was the map in use at the time of the election. Click the map below to enlarge it.
This section contains data on U.S. House primary election competitiveness in Arizona.
Arizona U.S. House competitiveness, 2014-2024 | ||||||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Year | Districts/ offices |
Seats | Open seats | Candidates | Possible primaries | Contested Democratic primaries | Contested Republican primaries | % of contested primaries | Incumbents in contested primaries | % of incumbents in contested primaries | ||||
2024 | 9 | 9 | 2 | 38 | 18 | 2 | 6 | 44.4% | 3 | 42.9% | ||||
2022 | 9 | 9 | 1 | 40 | 18 | 2 | 7 | 50.0% | 3 | 37.5% | ||||
2020 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 34 | 18 | 6 | 4 | 55.6% | 3 | 33.3% | ||||
2018 | 9 | 9 | 2 | 38 | 18 | 5 | 5 | 55.6% | 2 | 28.6% | ||||
2016 | 9 | 9 | 2 | 31 | 18 | 4 | 7 | 61.1% | 3 | 42.9% | ||||
2014 | 9 | 9 | 1 | 25 | 18 | 1 | 4 | 27.8% | 1 | 12.5% |
Post-filing deadline analysis
The following analysis covers all U.S. House districts up for election in Arizona in 2024. Information below was calculated on May 26, 2024, and may differ from information shown in the table above due to candidate replacements and withdrawals after that time.
Thirty-eight candidates ran for Arizona’s nine U.S. House districts, including 16 Democrats and 22 Republicans. That’s 4.22 candidates per district. There were 4.33 candidates per district in 2022, 4.22 candidates per district in 2020, and 4.11 in 2018.
The 3rd and 8th Congressional Districts were open in 2024. Rep. Ruben Gallego (D-03) ran for the U.S. Senate, and Rep. Debbie Lesko (R-08) ran for the Maricopa County Board of Supervisors.
Nine candidates—six Democrats and three Republicans—ran for the 1st Congressional District, the most candidates who ran for a seat in Arizona in 2024.
Eight primaries—two Democratic and six Republican—were contested in 2024. That's the fewest since 2014, when five primaries were contested.
Three incumbents—all Republicans—were in contested primaries in 2024.
Candidates filed to run in the Republican and Democratic primaries in all nine districts, meaning no seats were guaranteed to either party.Partisan Voter Index
Heading into the 2024 elections, based on results from the 2020 and 2016 presidential elections, the Cook Partisan Voter Index for this district was R+11. This meant that in those two presidential elections, this district's results were 11 percentage points more Republican than the national average. This made Arizona's 5th the 130th most Republican district nationally.[16]
2020 presidential election results
The table below shows what the vote in the 2020 presidential election would have been in this district. The presidential election data was compiled by Daily Kos.
2020 presidential results in Arizona's 5th based on 2024 district lines | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|
Joe Biden | Donald Trump | |||
41.0% | 57.4% |
Inside Elections Baselines
- See also: Inside Elections
Inside Elections' Baseline is a figure that analyzes all federal and statewide election results from the district over the past four election cycles. The results are combined in an index estimating the strength of a typical Democratic or Republican candidate in the congressional district.[17] The table below displays the Baseline data for this district.
Inside Elections Baseline for 2024 | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic Baseline | Republican Baseline | Difference | ||
40.4 | 58.1 | D+17.7 |
Presidential voting history
- See also: Presidential election in Arizona, 2020
Arizona presidential election results (1900-2020)
- 9 Democratic wins
- 19 Republican wins
Year | 1900 | 1904 | 1908 | 1912 | 1916 | 1920 | 1924 | 1928 | 1932 | 1936 | 1940 | 1944 | 1948 | 1952 | 1956 | 1960 | 1964 | 1968 | 1972 | 1976 | 1980 | 1984 | 1988 | 1992 | 1996 | 2000 | 2004 | 2008 | 2012 | 2016 | 2020 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Winning Party | N/A | N/A | N/A | D | D | R | R | R | D | D | D | D | D | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | D | R | R | R | R | R | D |
Congressional delegation
The table below displays the partisan composition of Arizona's congressional delegation as of May 2024.
Congressional Partisan Breakdown from Arizona | |||
---|---|---|---|
Party | U.S. Senate | U.S. House | Total |
Democratic | 1 | 3 | 4 |
Republican | 0 | 6 | 6 |
Independent | 1 | 0 | 1 |
Vacancies | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Total | 2 | 9 | 11 |
State executive
The table below displays the officeholders in Arizona's top three state executive offices as of May 2024.
State executive officials in Arizona, May 2024 | |
---|---|
Office | Officeholder |
Governor | Katie Hobbs |
Secretary of State | Adrian Fontes |
Attorney General | Kris Mayes |
State legislature
Arizona State Senate
Party | As of February 2024 | |
---|---|---|
Democratic Party | 14 | |
Republican Party | 16 | |
Other | 0 | |
Vacancies | 0 | |
Total | 30 |
Arizona House of Representatives
Party | As of February 2024 | |
---|---|---|
Democratic Party | 28 | |
Republican Party | 31 | |
Other | 0 | |
Vacancies | 1 | |
Total | 60 |
Trifecta control
The table below shows the state's trifecta status from 1992 until the 2024 election.
Arizona Party Control: 1992-2024
No Democratic trifectas • Twenty-two years of Republican trifectas
Scroll left and right on the table below to view more years.
Year | 92 | 93 | 94 | 95 | 96 | 97 | 98 | 99 | 00 | 01 | 02 | 03 | 04 | 05 | 06 | 07 | 08 | 09 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Governor | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | D | D | D | D | D | D | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | D | D |
Senate | D | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | S | S | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R |
House | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R |
District history
The section below details election results for this office in elections dating back to 2018.
2022
General election
General election for U.S. House Arizona District 5
Incumbent Andy Biggs defeated Javier Garcia Ramos, Clint Smith, and Debra Jo Borden in the general election for U.S. House Arizona District 5 on November 8, 2022.
Candidate | % | Votes | ||
✔ | Andy Biggs (R) | 56.7 | 182,464 | |
Javier Garcia Ramos (D) | 37.4 | 120,243 | ||
Clint Smith (Independent) | 5.9 | 18,851 | ||
Debra Jo Borden (D) (Write-in) | 0.0 | 32 |
Total votes: 321,590 | ||||
= candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey. | ||||
If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey. | ||||
Do you want a spreadsheet of this type of data? Contact our sales team. |
Withdrawn or disqualified candidates
- Travis Lindberg (Independent)
Democratic primary election
Democratic primary for U.S. House Arizona District 5
Javier Garcia Ramos advanced from the Democratic primary for U.S. House Arizona District 5 on August 2, 2022.
Candidate | % | Votes | ||
✔ | Javier Garcia Ramos | 100.0 | 50,647 |
Total votes: 50,647 | ||||
= candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey. | ||||
If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey. | ||||
Do you want a spreadsheet of this type of data? Contact our sales team. |
Withdrawn or disqualified candidates
- Benjamin Larivee (D)
Republican primary election
Republican primary for U.S. House Arizona District 5
Incumbent Andy Biggs defeated Jim Beall, Martin Callan, and David Boels in the Republican primary for U.S. House Arizona District 5 on August 2, 2022.
Candidate | % | Votes | ||
✔ | Andy Biggs | 99.5 | 98,114 | |
Jim Beall (Write-in) | 0.2 | 197 | ||
Martin Callan (Write-in) | 0.2 | 193 | ||
David Boels (Write-in) | 0.1 | 66 |
Total votes: 98,570 | ||||
= candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey. | ||||
If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey. | ||||
Do you want a spreadsheet of this type of data? Contact our sales team. |
2020
General election
General election for U.S. House Arizona District 5
Incumbent Andy Biggs defeated Joan Greene and Karen Stephens in the general election for U.S. House Arizona District 5 on November 3, 2020.
Candidate | % | Votes | ||
✔ | Andy Biggs (R) | 58.9 | 262,414 | |
Joan Greene (D) | 41.1 | 183,171 | ||
Karen Stephens (R) (Write-in) | 0.0 | 72 |
Total votes: 445,657 | ||||
= candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey. | ||||
If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey. | ||||
Do you want a spreadsheet of this type of data? Contact our sales team. |
Democratic primary election
Democratic primary for U.S. House Arizona District 5
Joan Greene defeated Javier Garcia Ramos and Jonathan Ireland in the Democratic primary for U.S. House Arizona District 5 on August 4, 2020.
Candidate | % | Votes | ||
✔ | Joan Greene | 50.0 | 34,090 | |
Javier Garcia Ramos | 39.4 | 26,828 | ||
Jonathan Ireland | 10.6 | 7,214 |
Total votes: 68,132 | ||||
= candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey. | ||||
If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey. | ||||
Do you want a spreadsheet of this type of data? Contact our sales team. |
Withdrawn or disqualified candidates
- Nick Murray (D)
Republican primary election
Republican primary for U.S. House Arizona District 5
Incumbent Andy Biggs defeated Joe Vess in the Republican primary for U.S. House Arizona District 5 on August 4, 2020.
Candidate | % | Votes | ||
✔ | Andy Biggs | 99.6 | 104,969 | |
Joe Vess (Write-in) | 0.4 | 465 |
Total votes: 105,434 | ||||
= candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey. | ||||
If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey. | ||||
Do you want a spreadsheet of this type of data? Contact our sales team. |
Withdrawn or disqualified candidates
- Tyler Pace (R)
2018
General election
General election for U.S. House Arizona District 5
Incumbent Andy Biggs defeated Joan Greene in the general election for U.S. House Arizona District 5 on November 6, 2018.
Candidate | % | Votes | ||
✔ | Andy Biggs (R) | 59.4 | 186,037 | |
Joan Greene (D) | 40.6 | 127,027 |
Total votes: 313,064 (100.00% precincts reporting) | ||||
= candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey. | ||||
If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey. | ||||
Do you want a spreadsheet of this type of data? Contact our sales team. |
Democratic primary election
Democratic primary for U.S. House Arizona District 5
Joan Greene defeated Jose Torres in the Democratic primary for U.S. House Arizona District 5 on August 28, 2018.
Candidate | % | Votes | ||
✔ | Joan Greene | 59.3 | 27,222 | |
Jose Torres | 40.7 | 18,671 |
Total votes: 45,893 (100.00% precincts reporting) | ||||
= candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey. | ||||
If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey. | ||||
Do you want a spreadsheet of this type of data? Contact our sales team. |
Withdrawn or disqualified candidates
- Lisa Chappelle (D)
- Tony Margalis (D)
- Scott Menor (D)
Republican primary election
Republican primary for U.S. House Arizona District 5
Incumbent Andy Biggs advanced from the Republican primary for U.S. House Arizona District 5 on August 28, 2018.
Candidate | % | Votes | ||
✔ | Andy Biggs | 100.0 | 86,418 |
Total votes: 86,418 (100.00% precincts reporting) | ||||
= candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey. | ||||
If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey. | ||||
Do you want a spreadsheet of this type of data? Contact our sales team. |
See also
External links
Footnotes
- ↑ A majority in the U.S. House when there are no vacancies is 218 seats.
- ↑ Daily Kos, "Daily Kos Elections' 2020 presidential results by congressional district, for new and old districts," accessed September 15, 2022
- ↑ Inside Elections also uses Tilt ratings to indicate an even smaller advantage and greater competitiveness.
- ↑ Amee LaTour, "Email correspondence with Nathan Gonzalez," April 19, 2018
- ↑ Amee LaTour, "Email correspondence with Kyle Kondik," April 19, 2018
- ↑ Amee LaTour, "Email correspondence with Charlie Cook," April 22, 2018
- ↑ AZ Family, "Arizona’s abortion measure, presidential race likely to boost young voter turnout," accessed August 17, 2024
- ↑ KJZZ, "KJZZ's Friday NewsCap: Big win, small setback for AZ abortion rights initiative," accessed August 17, 2024
- ↑ Washington Examiner, "Harris banks on abortion ballot measures for Southwest path to victory," accessed August 17, 2024
- ↑ The New York Times, "Immigration Measure Added to the Ballot in Arizona," accessed August 17, 2024
- ↑ North County Public Radio, "In Arizona, will abortion access and immigration ballot measures drive turnout?," accessed August 17, 2024
- ↑ KOLD, "HCR 2060 could have huge impact on voter turnout in November," accessed August 17, 2024
- ↑ Arizona for Abortion Access, "Homepage," accessed January 10, 2023
- ↑ It Goes Too Far, "Homepage," accessed January 10, 2023
- ↑ 15.0 15.1 15.2 15.3 This is the average signature requirement of all congressional districts.
- ↑ Cook Political Report, "The 2022 Cook Partisan Voting Index (Cook PVI℠)," accessed January 10, 2024
- ↑ Inside Elections, "Methodology: Inside Elections’ Baseline by Congressional District," December 8, 2023
|