Arizona's 2nd Congressional District election, 2024

	← 2022
Arizona's 2nd Congressional District
	Democratic primary; Republican primary; General election
Election details
	Filing deadline: April 1, 2024
	Primary: July 30, 2024; General: November 5, 2024
How to vote
	Poll times: 6 a.m. to 7 p.m.; Voting in Arizona
Race ratings
	Cook Political Report: Likely Republican; DDHQ and The Hill: Safe Republican; Inside Elections: Likely Republican; Sabato's Crystal Ball: Likely Republican
Ballotpedia analysis
	U.S. Senate battlegrounds; U.S. House battlegrounds; Federal and state primary competitiveness; Ballotpedia's Election Analysis Hub, 2024
See also
	Arizona's 2nd Congressional District; U.S. Senate • 1st • 2nd • 3rd • 4th • 5th • 6th • 7th • 8th • 9th; Arizona elections, 2024; U.S. Congress elections, 2024; U.S. Senate elections, 2024; U.S. House elections, 2024; Alabama U.S. House racesAlaska U.S. House racesArizona U.S. House racesArkansas U.S. House racesCalifornia U.S. House racesColorado U.S. House racesConnecticut U.S. House racesDelaware U.S. House racesFlorida U.S. House racesGeorgia U.S. House racesHawaii U.S. House racesIdaho U.S. House racesIllinois U.S. House racesIndiana U.S. House racesIowa U.S. House racesKansas U.S. House racesKentucky U.S. House racesLouisiana U.S. House racesMaine U.S. House racesMaryland U.S. House racesMassachusetts U.S. House racesMichigan U.S. House racesMinnesota U.S. House racesMississippi U.S. House racesMissouri U.S. House racesMontana U.S. House racesNebraska U.S. House racesNevada U.S. House racesNew Hampshire U.S. House racesNew Jersey U.S. House racesNew Mexico U.S. House racesNew York U.S. House racesNorth Carolina U.S. House racesNorth Dakota U.S. House racesOhio U.S. House racesOklahoma U.S. House racesOregon U.S. House racesPennsylvania U.S. House racesRhode Island U.S. House racesSouth Carolina U.S. House racesSouth Dakota U.S. House racesTennessee U.S. House racesTexas U.S. House racesUtah U.S. House racesVermont U.S. House racesVirginia U.S. House racesWashington U.S. House racesWest Virginia U.S. House racesWisconsin U.S. House racesWyoming U.S. House racesSubmit

Arizona 2024 elections

U.S. Senate • U.S. House • State executive offices • State Senate • State House • Supreme court • Appellate courts • State ballot measures • Local ballot measures • School boards • Municipal • Recalls • All other local • How to run for office

All U.S. House districts, including the 2nd Congressional District of Arizona, held elections in 2024. The general election was November 5, 2024. The primary was July 30, 2024. The filing deadline was April 1, 2024.

All 435 U.S. House seats were up for election in 2024. At the time of the election, Republicans had a 220 to 212 majority with three vacancies.^[1] Forty-five members of the U.S. House did not run for re-election. To read more about the 2024 U.S. House elections, click here.

In the 2022 election in this district, the Republican candidate won 53.9%-46.1%. Daily Kos calculated what the results of the 2020 presidential election in this district would have been following redistricting. Donald Trump (R) would have defeated Joe Biden (D) 53.2%-45.3%.^[2]

For more information about the primaries in this election, click on the links below:

Candidates and election results

General election

General election for U.S. House Arizona District 2

Incumbent Eli Crane defeated Jonathan Nez, David Alexander, Charles Holt Jr., and Richard Ester in the general election for U.S. House Arizona District 2 on November 5, 2024.

	Candidate	%	Votes
✔	Eli Crane (R)	54.4	206,570
	Jonathan Nez (D)	45.6	173,397
	David Alexander (D) (Write-in)	0.0	0
	Charles Holt Jr. (Independent) (Write-in)	0.0	0
	Richard Ester (Independent) (Write-in)	0.0	0

	Incumbents are bolded and underlined. Source	Total votes: 379,967
= candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey.
Do you want a spreadsheet of this type of data? Contact our sales team.

Democratic primary election

Democratic primary for U.S. House Arizona District 2

Jonathan Nez advanced from the Democratic primary for U.S. House Arizona District 2 on July 30, 2024.

		Candidate	%	Votes
✔		Jonathan Nez	100.0	62,033

	There were no incumbents in this race. The results have been certified. Source	Total votes: 62,033
= candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey.
Do you want a spreadsheet of this type of data? Contact our sales team.

Withdrawn or disqualified candidates

Lindsay Bowe (D)

Republican primary election

Republican primary for U.S. House Arizona District 2

Incumbent Eli Crane defeated Jack Smith in the Republican primary for U.S. House Arizona District 2 on July 30, 2024.

	Candidate	%	Votes
✔	Eli Crane	80.5	89,480
	Jack Smith	19.5	21,637

	Incumbents are bolded and underlined. The results have been certified. Source	Total votes: 111,117
= candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey.
Do you want a spreadsheet of this type of data? Contact our sales team.

Withdrawn or disqualified candidates

Walter Blackman (R)

Libertarian primary election

Withdrawn or disqualified candidates

David Bies (L)

Candidate profiles

This section includes candidate profiles that may be created in one of two ways: either the candidate completed Ballotpedia's Candidate Connection survey, or Ballotpedia staff may compile a profile based on campaign websites, advertisements, and public statements after identifying the candidate as noteworthy. For more on how we select candidates to include, click here.

Eli Crane

Party: Republican Party

Incumbent: Yes

Political Office:

U.S. House Arizona District 2 (Assumed office: 2023)

Biography: After attending Arizona Western College and the University of Arizona, Crane served 13 years in the U.S. Navy. Crane founded Bottle Breacher, a manufacturer of novelty bottle openers, after leaving the Navy.

Key Messages

The following key messages were curated by Ballotpedia staff. For more on how we identify key messages, click here.

Crane said his policy priorities were securing the border, expanding care for veterans, opposing instruction in Critical Race Theory and similar initiatives in schools and the military, and lowering rates of taxation and spending.

Crane said his primary challenger had support from establishment politicians, saying he had been "targeted by the uniparty for fighting for AZ-02...Once they realize you’re not going to join their team, they move to get rid of you however they can."

Crane said he had a record of service to his community and the district that included his service in the military and in Congress as well as his volunteer work with veterans' organizations.

Show sources

Sources: Eli Crane 2024 campaign website, "Home page," accessed April 30, 2024; Eli Crane 2024 campaign website, "About," accessed April 30, 2024; Eli Crane 2024 campaign website, "Issues," accessed April 30, 2024; Facebook, "Eli Crane for Congress on April 26, 2024," accessed April 30, 2024; Eli Crane 2024 campaign website, "About," accessed April 30, 2024; Biographical Directory of the United States Congress, "CRANE, Eli," accessed April 30, 2024; Bottle Breacher; "Our Process," accessed April 30, 2024

This information was current as of the candidate's run for U.S. House Arizona District 2 in 2024.

Voting information

See also: Voting in Arizona

Election information in Arizona: Nov. 5, 2024, election.

What was the voter registration deadline?

In-person: Oct. 7, 2024
By mail: Postmarked by Oct. 7, 2024
Online: Oct. 7, 2024

Was absentee/mail-in voting available to all voters?

Yes

What was the absentee/mail-in ballot request deadline?

In-person: Oct. 25, 2024
By mail: Received by Oct. 25, 2024
Online: Oct. 25, 2024

What was the absentee/mail-in ballot return deadline?

In-person: Nov. 5, 2024
By mail: Received by Nov. 5, 2024

Was early voting available to all voters?

Yes

What were the early voting start and end dates?

Oct. 9, 2024 to Nov. 1, 2024

Were all voters required to present ID at the polls? If so, was a photo or non-photo ID required?

N/A

When were polls open on Election Day?

6:00 a.m. to 7:00 p.m.

Ballotpedia's Candidate Connection survey responses

Ballotpedia asks all federal, state, and local candidates to complete a survey and share what motivates them on political and personal levels. Candidates are asked three required questions for this survey, but they may answer additional optional questions as well.

No candidate in this race completed Ballotpedia's Candidate Connection survey.

Campaign finance

Name	Party	Receipts*	Disbursements**	Cash on hand	Date
Eli Crane	Republican Party	$7,390,278	$6,377,986	$1,078,548	As of October 16, 2024
David Alexander	Democratic Party	$0	$0	$0	Data not available***
Jonathan Nez	Democratic Party	$4,027,787	$3,703,010	$324,729	As of October 16, 2024
Jack Smith	Republican Party	$104,009	$103,271	$738	As of September 30, 2024
Richard Ester	Independent	$0	$0	$0	Data not available***
Charles Holt Jr.	Independent	$0	$0	$0	Data not available***
Source: Federal Elections Commission, "Campaign finance data," 2024. This product uses the openFEC API but is not endorsed or certified by the Federal Election Commission (FEC). * According to the FEC, "Receipts are anything of value (money, goods, services or property) received by a political committee." According to the FEC, a disbursement "is a purchase, payment, distribution, loan, advance, deposit or gift of money or anything of value to influence a federal election," plus other kinds of payments not made to influence a federal election. * Candidate either did not report any receipts or disbursements to the FEC, or Ballotpedia did not find an FEC candidate ID.

General election race ratings

See also: Race rating definitions and methods

Ballotpedia provides race ratings from four outlets: The Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, Sabato's Crystal Ball, and DDHQ/The Hill. Each race rating indicates if one party is perceived to have an advantage in the race and, if so, the degree of advantage:

Safe and Solid ratings indicate that one party has a clear edge and the race is not competitive.
Likely ratings indicate that one party has a clear edge, but an upset is possible.
Lean ratings indicate that one party has a small edge, but the race is competitive.^[3]
Toss-up ratings indicate that neither party has an advantage.

Race ratings are informed by a number of factors, including polling, candidate quality, and election result history in the race's district or state.^[4]^[5]^[6]

Race ratings: Arizona's 2nd Congressional District election, 2024
Race tracker	Race ratings
	November 5, 2024	October 29, 2024	October 22, 2024	October 15, 2024
The Cook Political Report with Amy Walter	Likely Republican	Likely Republican	Solid Republican	Solid Republican
Decision Desk HQ and The Hill	Safe Republican	Safe Republican	Likely Republican	Safe Republican
Inside Elections with Nathan L. Gonzales	Likely Republican	Likely Republican	Likely Republican	Likely Republican
Larry J. Sabato's Crystal Ball	Likely Republican	Likely Republican	Safe Republican	Safe Republican
Note: Ballotpedia reviews external race ratings every week throughout the election season and posts weekly updates even if the media outlets have not revised their ratings during that week.

Noteworthy ballot measures

See also: Arizona 2024 ballot measures

Arizona had 12 ballot measures on the November 5, 2024, ballot. Two notable ones were Proposition 139, which would have provided for a state constitutional right to an abortion, and Proposition 314, which would have allowed law enforcement to arrest any noncitizens who cross the border unlawfully.

Observers and officials commented on whether the amendments would affect voter turnout statewide.

Consultant Marcus Dell'Artino said the abortion amendment could increase turnout among young voters: “A measure like this in a presidential year number one, and two an issue as personal as abortion, certainly moves those younger voters 18 and older to get out and vote.”^[7]

Democratic strategist Tony Cani said between the two amendments, abortion would be a bigger driver of turnout: "The types of voters who are motivated by the abortion initiative tend to be younger, tend to be women, tend to be voters that in the past have needed more of a reason to show up to the polls. And so I think that on balance, if you’re looking at the two, that the abortion initiative is probably going to drive turnout more."^[8]

Republican consultant Barrett Marson said that the economy would be a more salient issue for voters: “The economy is going to play a much greater role in how people vote — try to get a mortgage around here, try to get a car loan at a reasonable rate. People are unhappy with those metrics right now.”^[9]

On the effect of the immigration measure, U.S. Senate candidate Mark Lamb (R) said, “This would certainly help draw Republican voters out.”^[10]

NPR's Ben Giles said the immigration measure "might drive Republican turnout, but it also might drive turnout among groups who are against this immigration law and then might also vote for Democratic candidates when they head to the polls in November."^[11]

Republican political analyst Sean Noble said: “I think that the people who care about immigration are gonna be motivated to come out for, to vote for Donald Trump just as much as they would for immigration... So I don’t think that the immigration issue on the ballot is gonna actually impact turnout.”^[12]

Arizona Right to Abortion Initiative

See also: Arizona Proposition 139, Right to Abortion Initiative (2024)

A "yes" vote supported amending the state constitution to provide for the fundamental right to abortion, among other provisions.

A "no" vote opposed amending the state constitution to provide for the fundamental right to an abortion.

To read more about supporters and opponents of the initiative, along with their arguments, click on the box below.

Arizona Right to Abortion Initiative Support & Opposition (click to expand)
Support

Arizona for Abortion Access was leading the campaign in support of the initiative.^[13]

Supporters

Officials
- Vice Pres. Kamala D. Harris (D)
- Gov. Katie Hobbs (D)
- State Sen. Jacky Rosen (D)
- State Rep. Athena Salman (D)
- Tucson Mayor Regina Romero (D)
Political Parties
- Arizona Working Families Party
Organizations
- Indivisible Project
- ACLU of Arizona
- American Association of University Women
- Amnesty International
- Arizona Public Health Association
- Healthcare Rising Arizona
- Human Rights Campaign
- League of Women Voters of Arizona
- Living United for Change Arizona
- National Council of Jewish Women Arizona
- Opportunity Arizona
- Our Voice Our Vote
- Planned Parenthood Advocates of Arizona
- Reproductive Freedom For All
- The Fairness Project
- Think Big America
- VetsForward
- YWCA Southern Arizona
Arguments
- Gov. Katie Hobbs (D): "To the people across Arizona who are concerned about the future of abortion rights in our state, who are worried about their bodily autonomy, who don’t want to see the freedoms of their wives, sisters and daughters restricted, you can make your two cents known at the ballot box, and I encourage you to do so."
- Committee to Protect Healthcare: "As health care professionals across Arizona, we support the Arizona Abortion Access Act, the amendment to restore reproductive freedoms in the state and put families back in charge of medical decisions. This amendment simply restores the rights Arizonans had for the past 50 years, before Roe v. Wade was overturned. That means Arizonans will again have the freedom to make their own decisions about pregnancy and abortion, without politicians interfering."
- Paul Bender, constitutional law professor at Arizona State University: “It essentially revives the right of abortion in Arizona as it was before the overturning of Roe versus Wade. If this passes, any law restricting abortion before fetal viability is unconstitutional.”
- Our Voice Our Vote: "Prop 139 is about restoring access to safe and legal abortion and putting the power back where it belongs: in the hands of women, not politicians. A majority of Arizona voters support a woman’s right to decide. Join all of us in protecting our freedoms from a few politicians."
- Dr. Paul Isaacson, Arizona OB-GYN: "These extremists falsely claim that the initiative will remove safety precautions and allow anybody to perform an abortion. They falsely claim it will allow for “abortion up until birth.” These lies are just that—lies. As an abortion provider, I can say with confidence that Proposition 139 won’t remove evidence-based safety and health standards, nor will it change the requirement that abortion be provided by qualified, licensed medical professionals. And there is absolutely, absolutely, no such thing as “abortion until the moment of birth.” These are lies that not only deceive voters but put women in danger because the reality is; arbitrary partisan bans are what harm women’s health, not laws that put healthcare decisions where they belong: in the hands of patients and their healthcare team."
Opposition

It Goes to Far was leading the campaign opposing the initiative.^[14]

Opponents

Organizations
- Arizona Catholic Conference Bishops
- Arizona Right to Life
- Moms for America
- Priests for Life
- Progressive Anti-Abortion Uprising
- Secular Pro-Life
- Students for Life Action
- Susan B. Anthony Pro-Life America
Arguments
- Cindy Dahlgren, spokeswoman for It Goes Too Far: "Unfortunately, most voters are not told that under this unregulated, unlimited abortion amendment they will lose the required medical doctor, critical and commonsense safety standards for girls and women seeking abortion, and moms and dads will be shut out of their minor daughter’s abortion decision, leaving her to go through the painful and scary process alone. Abortion is legal in Arizona up to 15-weeks and we have common sense safety precautions to protect girls and women. It’s reckless to lose those safety precautions just to expand abortion beyond what most voters support."
- Marjorie Dannenfelser, president of Susan B. Anthony Pro-Life America: "Governor Hobbs and her pro-abortion allies will pour millions into deceiving the voters about the upcoming amendment that permits abortion on demand when babies can feel pain and survive outside the womb. We must defeat this extreme measure that would force Arizonans to pay for abortions and eliminate health protections for women."
- Julia Payne Koon, legal counsel with Alliance Defending Freedom: "Conspicuously absent from this standard is any requirement that interference with abortion be 'undue.' Instead, the language of the ballot measure seems to suggest that even minor interference with the abortion right triggers the highest legal scrutiny—even if the law in question doesn’t prevent a single Arizona woman from having an abortion. In practice, this standard—if enacted—could not only call into question Arizona’s 15-week law, but all of Arizona’s laws governing abortion, no matter how sensible. For instance, Arizona requires that only physicians may perform surgical abortions and that women receive specific informed consent information at least 24 hours before an abortion. Those laws could be challenged as too restrictive under the amendment."
- It Goes Too Far: "The amendment language legalizes late-term abortion beyond viability, but 90% of Arizonans support limits on abortion at 15 weeks or earlier. It prevents Arizonans from requesting that safety standards be passed or enforced – even if those safety standards protect girls and women from complications such as perforated uterus or bowel, sepsis, infertility, and hemorrhaging. It opens the door to force taxpayers to fund abortions, even non-residents. It endangers current law allowing healthcare professionals to opt out of performing or participating in abortions due to their consciences."
- Arizona Catholic Conference Bishops: "If passed, this initiative threatens to enshrine a constitutional right to virtually unrestricted abortion in Arizona. What makes a constitutional amendment especially grave is that our own Arizona legislators could lose the ability to regulate abortion in any meaningful way, leaving us with the potential for what would likely become nearly unrestricted abortion. Arizona law currently allows for abortions up until 15 weeks of pregnancy. Proposition 139, however, would go far beyond even this current law. The proposed amendment, among other things, would likely remove most safeguards for girls and women that are currently in place at abortion clinics, permit a minor to obtain an abortion without parental involvement or permission, and allow for painful late-term abortions of viable pre-born children."

Arizona Immigration and Border Law Enforcement Measure

See also: Arizona Proposition 314, Immigration and Border Law Enforcement Measure (2024)

A "yes" vote supported:

making it a state crime for noncitizens to enter the state at any location other than the port of entry;
allowing for state and local police to arrest noncitizens who cross the border unlawfully;
allowing for state judges to order deportations;
requiring the use of the E-Verify program in order to determine the immigration status of individuals before the enrollment in a financial aid or public welfare program;
making it a Class 6 felony for individuals who submit false information or documents to an employer to evade detection of employment eligibility, or to apply for public benefits, and;
making the sale of fentanyl a Class 2 felony if the person knowingly sells fentanyl and it results in the death of another person.

A "no" vote opposed making the above changes to state law regarding immigration, border law enforcement, and sale of fentanyl.

To read more about supporters and opponents of the initiative, along with their arguments, click on the box below.

Arizona Immigration and Border Law Enforcement Measure Support & Opposition (click to expand)
Support

Supporters

Officials
- State Sen. Ken Bennett (R)
- State Sen. John Kavanagh (R)
- State Rep. John Gillette (R)
- State Rep. Alexander Kolodin (R)
- State Rep. Ben Toma (R)
Candidates
- Kari Lake (R) - U.S. Sen. candidate
Organizations
- Heritage Action for America
Arguments
- State Sen. Ken Bennett (R-1): "Given the lack of control of the border, I just feel it’s something the state has to resolve. That’s not stopping someone hundreds of miles inside the inner parts of the state. You got to see them with your own eyes or have technological evidence."
- U.S. Sen. candidate Kari Lake (R): "Arizonans are crying out for common sense security measures. I am encouraged that Arizona Republican state legislators are doing their best to deliver it — even if they have to go around Hobbs’ veto to do it."
- State Rep. Ben Toma (R-27): "I am an immigrant. This is not anti-immigrant. This is anti-lawlessness. It’s about securing our border, because the federal government has failed to do their job."
- Nathan Duell, Arizona state director for Heritage Action for America: "Open border policies have allowed 10 million illegal aliens to cross the border into the United States since President Biden took office. American jobs and families are threatened every day by the constant influx of illegal aliens invading the country. Prop 314 is a meaningful, commonsense proposal to protect the safety and well-being of our communities. Arizona spends $2.3 billion a year on expenditures for illegal aliens, according to an estimate from the Federation for American Immigration Reform. Prop 314 would limit this strain on social services by ensuring that public benefits are only utilized by those who are lawfully present in the United States."
- Andrew Adams, on behalf of LD14GOP: "In essence, the Secure the Border Act is essential for restoring order and security along Arizona’s border. It establishes a legal framework that enables state authorities to protect their communities, uphold the rule of law, and mitigate the detrimental effects of uncontrolled immigration and drug trafficking."
Opposition

Opponents

Officials
- U.S. Rep. Ruben Gallego (D)
- Gov. Katie Hobbs (D)
- State Rep. Analise Ortiz (D)
- State Rep. Mariana Sandoval (D)
- Tucson Mayor Regina Romero (D)
Political Parties
- Arizona Working Families Party
Organizations
- American Business Immigration Coalition
- Arizona Catholic Conference Bishops
- Arizona Education Association
- Arizona Hispanic Chamber of Commerce
- Arizona Public Health Association
- Catholic Bishops of Arizona
- League of Women Voters of Arizona
- Living United For Change In Arizona
- Roman Catholic Diocese of Phoenix
- Sierra Club
Arguments
- Gov. Katie Hobbs (D): "HCR 2060 will hurt Arizona businesses, send jobs out of state, make it more difficult for law enforcement to do their jobs, and bust the state’s budget. It will not secure our border. Despite strong opposition from business leaders, border law enforcement, and bipartisan local leaders throughout the state, extremists in the legislature have chosen to prioritize their political agendas over finding real solutions."
- U.S. Rep. Ruben Gallego (D): "Politicians are refusing to address our border crisis and dragging us backwards to a horrible time. In order to truly secure our border and keep Arizonans safe, we need to hire more border patrol agents, deliver crucial resources to our frontline border communities, and fix our broken asylum system. This bill does none of that."
- Rev. John P. Dolan, Rev. Edward J. Weisenburger, Rev. James S. Wall, Rev. Eduardo Nevares of the Roman Catholic Diocese of Phoenix: "Immigration by its nature is a national issue and the regulation of immigration extends beyond the purview of individual states. Rather than holding the federal government accountable, Proposition 314 will only create further disorder and confusion, placing unworkable and unrealistic expectations on state judicial officers and law enforcement personnel."
- Alejandra Gomez, executive director of LUCHA (Living United for Change in Arizona): "If Prop. 314 reaches the ballot box this November, many Arizonans will be disproportionately targeted and subjected to suspicion and persecution. This discriminatory legislation will lead to over-policing in every community across our state. Arizonans, even those hundreds of miles from the border, will be under the intense scrutiny of law enforcement. A routine traffic stop could quickly escalate into an inquiry about citizenship status and possible detainment based solely on the color of your skin and your last name."
- Catholic Bishops of Arizona: "Although proponents argue that Proposition 314 is about border security, the reality is that its passage will create real fear within Arizona communities that will have harmful consequences. In particular, by having state and local law enforcement responsible for enforcing what should be the role of federal immigration authorities, many crime victims and witnesses will be afraid to go to law enforcement and report crimes. As a result, dangerous criminals will not be apprehended, and public safety will be threatened. Additionally, immigration by its nature is a national issue and the regulation of immigration extends beyond the purview of individual states, points consistently affirmed by the U.S. Supreme Court. Rather than holding the federal government accountable, Proposition 314 will only create further disorder and confusion, placing unworkable and unrealistic expectations on state judicial officers and law enforcement personnel."
- Chris Nanos, sheriff of Pima County: "If I book a migrant in my county jail, I’m paying for those costs without any funding from the state. Who wants to do this silly law with no funding from the federal government? But here’s another caveat that I’ve seen for a couple of decades: the federal government on the border doesn’t have enough courts, therefore they don’t have enough judges, they don’t have enough attorneys. I’m not going to allow my deputies to be on that border, to arrest people, to book them in our jail when we have a federal government that has that responsibility."
- San Luis Mayor Nieves Riedel: "Our policemen and women are not federal agents. They’re not trained. What’s going to happen to our safety and security if they’re acting like Border Patrol agents?"

Ballot access

The table below details filing requirements for U.S. House candidates in Arizona in the 2024 election cycle. For additional information on candidate ballot access requirements in Arizona, click here.

Filing requirements for U.S. House candidates, 2024
State	Office	Party	Signatures required	Filing fee	Filing deadline	Source
Arizona	U.S. House	Democratic	1,458^[15]	N/A	4/1/2024	Source
Arizona	U.S. House	Republican	1,572^[15]	N/A	4/1/2024	Source
Arizona	U.S. House	Libertarian	802^[15]	N/A	4/1/2024	Source
Arizona	U.S. House	Unaffiliated	4,701^[15]	N/A	4/1/2024	Source

District analysis

Click the tabs below to view information about voter composition, past elections, and demographics in both the district and the state.

District map - A map of the district in place for the election.
Competitiveness - Information about the competitiveness of 2024 U.S. House elections in the state.
Presidential elections - Information about presidential elections in the district and the state.
State party control - The partisan makeup of the state's congressional delegation and state government.

District map

State party control

Below was the map in use at the time of the election. Click the map below to enlarge it.

See also: Primary election competitiveness in state and federal government, 2024

This section contains data on U.S. House primary election competitiveness in Arizona.

Arizona U.S. House competitiveness, 2014-2024
Year	Districts/ offices	Seats	Open seats	Candidates	Possible primaries	Contested Democratic primaries	Contested Republican primaries	% of contested primaries	Incumbents in contested primaries	% of incumbents in contested primaries
2024	9	9	2	38	18	2	6	44.4%	3	42.9%
2022	9	9	1	40	18	2	7	50.0%	3	37.5%
2020	9	9	0	34	18	6	4	55.6%	3	33.3%
2018	9	9	2	38	18	5	5	55.6%	2	28.6%
2016	9	9	2	31	18	4	7	61.1%	3	42.9%
2014	9	9	1	25	18	1	4	27.8%	1	12.5%

Post-filing deadline analysis

The following analysis covers all U.S. House districts up for election in Arizona in 2024. Information below was calculated on May 26, 2024, and may differ from information shown in the table above due to candidate replacements and withdrawals after that time.

Thirty-eight candidates ran for Arizona’s nine U.S. House districts, including 16 Democrats and 22 Republicans. That’s 4.22 candidates per district. There were 4.33 candidates per district in 2022, 4.22 candidates per district in 2020, and 4.11 in 2018.

The 3rd and 8th Congressional Districts were open in 2024. Rep. Ruben Gallego (D-03) ran for the U.S. Senate, and Rep. Debbie Lesko (R-08) ran for the Maricopa County Board of Supervisors.

Nine candidates—six Democrats and three Republicans—ran for the 1st Congressional District, the most candidates who ran for a seat in Arizona in 2024.

Eight primaries—two Democratic and six Republican—were contested in 2024. That's the fewest since 2014, when five primaries were contested.

Three incumbents—all Republicans—were in contested primaries in 2024.

Candidates filed to run in the Republican and Democratic primaries in all nine districts, meaning no seats were guaranteed to either party.

Partisan Voter Index

See also: The Cook Political Report's Partisan Voter Index

Heading into the 2024 elections, based on results from the 2020 and 2016 presidential elections, the Cook Partisan Voter Index for this district was R+6. This meant that in those two presidential elections, this district's results were 6 percentage points more Republican than the national average. This made Arizona's 2nd the 181st most Republican district nationally.^[16]

2020 presidential election results

The table below shows what the vote in the 2020 presidential election would have been in this district. The presidential election data was compiled by Daily Kos.

2020 presidential results in Arizona's 2nd based on 2024 district lines
Joe Biden	Donald Trump
45.3%	53.2%

Inside Elections Baselines

See also: Inside Elections

Inside Elections' Baseline is a figure that analyzes all federal and statewide election results from the district over the past four election cycles. The results are combined in an index estimating the strength of a typical Democratic or Republican candidate in the congressional district.^[17] The table below displays the Baseline data for this district.

Inside Elections Baseline for 2024
Democratic Baseline	Republican Baseline	Difference
45.0	53.6	R+8.6

Presidential voting history

See also: Presidential election in Arizona, 2020

Arizona presidential election results (1900-2020)

9 Democratic wins
19 Republican wins

Year	1900	1904	1908	1912	1916	1920	1924	1928	1932	1936	1940	1944	1948	1952	1956	1960	1964	1968	1972	1976	1980	1984	1988	1992	1996	2000	2004	2008	2012	2016	2020
Winning Party	N/A	N/A	N/A	D	D	R	R	R	D	D	D	D	D	R	R	R	R	R	R	R	R	R	R	R	D	R	R	R	R	R	D

See also: Party control of Arizona state government

Congressional delegation

The table below displays the partisan composition of Arizona's congressional delegation as of May 2024.

Congressional Partisan Breakdown from Arizona
Party	U.S. Senate	U.S. House	Total
Democratic	1	3	4
Republican	0	6	6
Independent	1	0	1
Vacancies	0	0	0
Total	2	9	11

State executive

The table below displays the officeholders in Arizona's top three state executive offices as of May 2024.

State executive officials in Arizona, May 2024
Office	Officeholder
Governor	Katie Hobbs
Secretary of State	Adrian Fontes
Attorney General	Kris Mayes

State legislature

Arizona State Senate

Party		As of February 2024
	Democratic Party	14
	Republican Party	16
	Other	0
	Vacancies	0
Total		30

Arizona House of Representatives

Party		As of February 2024
	Democratic Party	28
	Republican Party	31
	Other	0
	Vacancies	1
Total		60

Trifecta control

The table below shows the state's trifecta status from 1992 until the 2024 election.

Arizona Party Control: 1992-2024
No Democratic trifectas • Twenty-two years of Republican trifectas
Scroll left and right on the table below to view more years.

Year	92	93	94	95	96	97	98	99	00	01	02	03	04	05	06	07	08	09	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	17	18	19	20	21	22	23	24
Governor	R	R	R	R	R	R	R	R	R	R	R	D	D	D	D	D	D	R	R	R	R	R	R	R	R	R	R	R	R	R	R	D	D
Senate	D	R	R	R	R	R	R	R	R	S	S	R	R	R	R	R	R	R	R	R	R	R	R	R	R	R	R	R	R	R	R	R	R
House	R	R	R	R	R	R	R	R	R	R	R	R	R	R	R	R	R	R	R	R	R	R	R	R	R	R	R	R	R	R	R	R	R

District history

The section below details election results for this office in elections dating back to 2018.