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The polls missed Donald Trumpâs election. Individual polls missed, at the state level and nationally (though national polls werenât far off). So did aggregated polls. So did poll-based forecasts such as ours. And so did exit polls. The miss wasnât unprecedented or even, these days, all that unusual. Polls have missed recent elections in the U.S. and abroad by margins at least as big. Every poll, a
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Daniel Shea for TIME"The cave" at President Obama's campaign headquarters in Chicago In late spring, the backroom number crunchers who powered Barack Obamaâs campaign to victory noticed that George Clooney had an almost gravitational tug on West Coast females ages 40 to 49. The women were far and away the single demographic group most likely to hand over cash, for a chance to dine in Hollywood wit
A study of 61 million Facebook users says a 2010 voting message increased real-world turnout by 340,000 votes. Starting in 2008, Facebook started nudging people to vote by posting special reminders that say: âToday is Election Day.â These messages include a button that Facebook members can click to indicate they have votedâinformation that is in turn shared automatically with their friends. New re
Join our daily and weekly newsletters for the latest updates and exclusive content on industry-leading AI coverage. Learn More For generations, politicians have used the phrase âMy friends.â Â Even Abe Lincoln would often refer to his listeners that way. Today, in the age of Facebook, that familiarity obviously takes on a whole new set of references. Â We are in the world of friends, of friends of f
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