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2022 Minnesota gubernatorial election

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2022 Minnesota gubernatorial election

← 2018 November 8, 2022 2026 →
Turnout61.0% (Decrease2.6 pp)
 
Nominee Tim Walz Scott Jensen
Party Democratic (DFL) Republican
Running mate Peggy Flanagan Matt Birk
Popular vote 1,312,349 1,119,941
Percentage 52.27% 44.61%

Walz:      40–50%      50–60%      60–70%      70–80%      80–90%      >90%
Jensen:      30–40%      40–50%      50–60%      60–70%      70–80%      80–90%      >90%
Tie:      50–60%

Governor before election

Tim Walz
Democratic (DFL)

Elected Governor

Tim Walz
Democratic (DFL)

The 2022 Minnesota gubernatorial election took place on November 8, 2022, to elect the governor of Minnesota. Incumbent Democratic (DFL) Governor Tim Walz defeated the Republican nominee, former state senator Scott Jensen,[1] winning a second term.[2]

Jensen's advantage in rural Greater Minnesota could not overcome Walz's large lead in the Twin Cities metropolitan area. Walz won the election by a comfortable 7.7% margin, narrowly larger than Biden's 7.1% margin in 2020 but smaller than his own previous record of 11.4%. With his win, Walz gave the Minnesota Democratic–Farmer–Labor Party its fourth consecutive gubernatorial victory, the most in the party's history.[3] Furthermore, the DFL held the State House and flipped the State Senate, gaining a trifecta for the first time since 2012.[4]

Democratic–Farmer–Labor primary

[edit]

Candidates

[edit]

Nominee

[edit]

Eliminated in primary

[edit]

Results

[edit]
Results by county:
  Walz
  •   80–90%
  •   90–100%
Democratic–Farmer–Labor primary results[9]
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic (DFL) Tim Walz (incumbent) 416,973 96.54%
Democratic (DFL) Ole Savior 14,950 3.46%
Total votes 431,923 100.0%

Republican primary

[edit]

Candidates

[edit]

Nominee

[edit]

Eliminated in primary

[edit]

Withdrawn

[edit]

Declined

[edit]

Caucuses and conventions

[edit]

Caucus

[edit]

The caucuses took place on February 1, 2022. A caucus is a local meeting where all who intend to vote for the Republican Party are able to select their precinct leadership, participate in a straw poll for governor, write and pass resolutions, and elect delegates to their local Basic Political Organizational Unit (BPOU). Those who were not elected BPOU delegates could become alternates and fill in for delegates who cannot attend the BPOU convention.[38]

BPOU conventions

[edit]

A BPOU has boundaries based on the county or state senate district a voter resides in. The majority of these took place in March 2022. Elected delegates of each BPOU attended a convention relating to their district to vote on the resolutions passed at the caucus, complete party business, listen to candidates, and elect delegates to the state convention and their corresponding U.S. House District convention.

State convention

[edit]

The Republican State Convention was held on May 13–14, 2022, in Rochester. 2,200 delegates were elected statewide to decide the Minnesota Republican Party's endorsement in all statewide offices. The endorsed candidate receives the party's backing, including money and resources, ahead of the August 9 primary.[39] Only one Republican, incumbent governor Arne Carlson in 1994, has won the primary without the party's endorsement. (Two Democrats, Mark Dayton and Tim Walz, won the Democratic primary against endorsed candidates.)[40]

At the convention, Scott Jensen won the endorsement with 65% of the vote on the ninth ballot, defeating Kendall Qualls. Mike Murphy, Paul Gazelka, and Neil Shah were eliminated on earlier ballots. All the candidates who contested the endorsement pledged to forego the primary if not endorsed.[40]

Qualls soon honored his pledge by announcing his plans to "return to private life."[41] Rich Stanek, the only major candidate who did not compete for the endorsement, did not file for the primary, leaving Jensen without major opposition.[24] He faced two minor candidates in the August primary.

Endorsements

[edit]
Scott Jensen

State legislators

Newspapers

  • Dassel-Cokato Enterprise Dispatch[43]
  • Delano Herald-Journal[43]
  • Winsted Herald-Journal[43]

Organizations

  • Stand for Health Freedom[44]

Results

[edit]
Results by county:
  Jensen
  •   70–80%
  •   80–90%
  •   90–100%
Republican primary results[9]
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Scott Jensen 288,499 89.31%
Republican Joyce Lynne Lacey 21,308 6.60%
Republican Bob "Again" Carney Jr. 13,213 4.09%
Total votes 323,020 100.0%

Independents and others

[edit]

Grassroots–Legalize Cannabis primary

[edit]

Candidates

[edit]
Nominee
[edit]
Eliminated in primary
[edit]
  • Darrell Paulsen, business consultant, nominee for lieutenant governor in 1998[7]
    • Edwin Engelmann, nominee for lieutenant governor in 2010

Results

[edit]
Results by county:
  Patterson
  •   50–60%
  •   60–70%
  •   70–80%
  •   80–90%
  •   90–100%
  Paulsen
  •   50–60%
  •   60–70%
  •   70–80%
  •   80–90%
  •   90–100%
  No votes
Grassroots–Legalize Cannabis primary results[9]
Party Candidate Votes %
Grassroots—LC Steve Patterson 1,003 59.14%
Grassroots—LC Darrell Paulsen 693 40.86%
Total votes 1,696 100.00%
[edit]

Candidates

[edit]
Nominee
[edit]
Eliminated in primary
[edit]

Results

[edit]
Results by county:
  McCaskel
  •   50–60%
  •   60–70%
  •   70–80%
  •   80–90%
  •   90–100%
  Wright
  •   50–60%
  •   60–70%
  •   70–80%
  •   80–90%
  •   90–100%
  No votes
Legal Marijuana Now primary results[9]
Party Candidate Votes %
Legal Marijuana Now James McCaskel 1,461 51.86%
Legal Marijuana Now Chris Wright 1,356 48.14%
Total votes 2,817 100.0%

Other parties

[edit]

Withdrew

[edit]

Declined

[edit]

Endorsements

[edit]
Cory Hepola (withdrew)

Organizations

General election

[edit]

Campaign

[edit]

The election's central issues were the economy, rising crime, Walz's response to the COVID-19 pandemic, education, and abortion access following the Supreme Court decision overturning Roe v. Wade.

Walz campaigned on his first-term accomplishments, such as middle-class tax cuts, while making abortion rights a prominent focus of the campaign and attacking Jensen on abortion and his COVID-19 skepticism. Jensen attacked Walz over his COVID-19 policies, crime in the Twin Cities, inflation and gas prices, and education performance.[55]

Jensen was criticized for promoting the hoax that schools provided litter boxes to students who identify as furries.[56][57]

Debates

[edit]
2022 Minnesota gubernatorial election debates
No. Date Host Moderator Link Republican DFL
Key:
 P  Participant   A  Absent   N  Non-invitee   I  Invitee  W  Withdrawn
Scott Jensen Tim Walz
1 August 3, 2022 Minnesota Farmfest Blois Olson [58] P P
2 October 18, 2022 KTTC/Gray Television Caitlin Alexander, Justin Betti,

Stacy Steinhagen, Dan Wolfe

[59] P P
3 October 23, 2022 KSTP/Hubbard Broadcasting Lindsey Brown, Tom Hauser,

Laura Lee, Peter Callaghan

[60] P A
4 October 28, 2022 Minnesota Public Radio[61] Mike Mulcahy [62] P P
5 November 4, 2022 Twin Cities PBS - Almanac Eric Eskola, Cathy Wurzer [63] P A

Predictions

[edit]
Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[64] Likely D March 4, 2022
Inside Elections[65] Lean D November 3, 2022
Sabato's Crystal Ball[66] Likely D October 12, 2022
Politico[67] Lean D April 1, 2022
RCP[68] Tossup June 10, 2022
Fox News[69] Lean D May 12, 2022
538[70] Likely D October 17, 2022
Elections Daily[71] Likely D November 7, 2022

Endorsements

[edit]
Scott Jensen (R)

Executive branch officials

U.S. senators

Statewide officials

State legislators

Newspapers

Organizations

Polling

[edit]

Aggregate polls

Source of poll
aggregation
Dates
administered
Dates
updated
Tim
Walz (DFL)
Scott
Jensen (R)
Other
[a]
Margin
Real Clear Politics[96] Oct. 10–30, 2022 Nov. 1, 2022 48.0% 43.7% 8.3% Walz +4.3
FiveThirtyEight[97] Sep. 24 – Oct. 30, 2022 Nov. 4, 2022 49.7% 40.9% 9.4% Walz +8.8
Average 48.9% 42.3% 8.8% Walz +6.6

Graphical summary

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[b]
Margin
of error
Tim
Walz (DFL)
Scott
Jensen (R)
Hugh
McTavish (I-A)
Other Undecided
SurveyUSA[98][A] Oct. 26–30, 2022 836 (LV) ± 3.9% 51% 43% 2% 4%
St. Cloud State University[99] Oct. 10–30, 2022 235 (A) ± 8% 56% 40% 4%
Trafalgar Group (R)[100] Oct. 17–19, 2022 1,091 (LV) ± 2.9% 45.8% 46.3% 1.4% 2.5%[c] 3.9%
Embold Research[101][B] Oct. 10–14, 2022 1,585 (LV) ± 2.6% 47.0% 42.4% 1.3% 3.3%[d] 6.0%
SurveyUSA[102] Sep. 30 – Oct. 3, 2022 604 (LV) ± 4.4% 50% 40% 4% 7%
Cygnal (R)[103][C] Sep. 24–26, 2022 600 (LV) ± 4.0% 47.6% 44.2% 0.4% 3.0%[e] 4.8%
Trafalgar Group (R)[104] Sep. 14, 2022 1,079 (LV) ± 2.9% 47.7% 45.0% 0.8% 1.7%[f] 4.9%
Mason-Dixon[105] Sep. 12–14, 2022 800 (LV) ± 3.5% 48.0% 41.0% 0.8% 10.3%
SurveyUSA[106] Aug. 30 – Sep. 4, 2022 562 (LV) ± 4.9% 51% 33% 4% 12%
Gravis Marketing (I-A)[107][D] Aug. 17–19, 2022 510 (LV) ± 4.3% 53% 36% 6% 5%
Cygnal (R)[108][C] Jul. 18–19, 2022 500 (LV) ± 4.3% 49.8% 45.6% 4.7%
Change Research[109][B] Jun. 3–8, 2022 1,551 (LV) ± 2.6% 41.8% 39.8% 2.7% 6.6%[g] 9.0%
SurveyUSA[110] May 5–10, 2022 513 (LV) ± 4.9% 44% 39% 4% 13%
SurveyUSA[111] Jan. 25–30, 2022 501 (LV) ± 5.7% 43% 40% 4% 13%
SurveyUSA[112] Dec. 2–6, 2021 506 (LV) ± 5.1% 48% 36% 5% 11%
Hypothetical polling

Tim Walz vs. Michelle Benson

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[b]
Margin
of error
Tim
Walz (DFL)
Michelle
Benson (R)
Other Undecided
SurveyUSA[111] January 25–30, 2022 501 (LV) ± 5.7% 45% 37% 8% 10%
SurveyUSA[112] December 2–6, 2021 506 (LV) ± 5.1% 47% 35% 4% 14%

Tim Walz vs. Paul Gazelka

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[b]
Margin
of error
Tim
Walz (DFL)
Paul
Gazelka (R)
Other Undecided
SurveyUSA[110] May 5–10, 2022 513 (LV) ± 4.9% 43% 36% 7% 15%
SurveyUSA[111] January 25–30, 2022 501 (LV) ± 5.7% 42% 37% 6% 15%
SurveyUSA[112] December 2–6, 2021 506 (LV) ± 5.1% 47% 34% 5% 14%

Tim Walz vs. Mike Marti

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[b]
Margin
of error
Tim
Walz (DFL)
Mike
Marti (R)
Other Undecided
SurveyUSA[112] December 2–6, 2021 506 (LV) ± 5.1% 47% 34% 3% 15%

Tim Walz vs. Mike Murphy

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[b]
Margin
of error
Tim
Walz (DFL)
Mike
Murphy (R)
Other Undecided
SurveyUSA[110] May 5–10, 2022 513 (LV) ± 4.9% 45% 35% 4% 15%
SurveyUSA[111] January 25–30, 2022 501 (LV) ± 5.7% 44% 35% 7% 14%
SurveyUSA[112] December 2–6, 2021 506 (LV) ± 5.1% 47% 36% 5% 12%

Tim Walz vs. Kendall Qualls

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[b]
Margin
of error
Tim
Walz (DFL)
Kendall
Qualls (R)
Other Undecided
SurveyUSA[110] May 5–10, 2022 513 (LV) ± 4.9% 46% 34% 4% 15%
SurveyUSA[111] January 25–30, 2022 501 (LV) ± 5.7% 43% 35% 6% 16%

Tim Walz vs. Neil Shah

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[b]
Margin
of error
Tim
Walz (DFL)
Neil
Shah (R)
Other Undecided
SurveyUSA[110] May 5–10, 2022 513 (LV) ± 4.9% 44% 34% 6% 16%
SurveyUSA[111] January 25–30, 2022 501 (LV) ± 5.7% 45% 34% 7% 14%
SurveyUSA[112] December 2–6, 2021 506 (LV) ± 5.1% 48% 31% 5% 16%

Tim Walz vs. Rich Stanek

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[b]
Margin
of error
Tim
Walz (DFL)
Rich
Stanek (R)
Other Undecided
SurveyUSA[110] May 5–10, 2022 513 (LV) ± 4.9% 47% 37% 5% 11%

Tim Walz vs. generic Republican

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[b]
Margin
of error
Tim
Walz (DFL)
Generic
Republican
Undecided
Change Research[113] August 28–31, 2021 1,945 (RV) ± 2.5% 46% 44% 10%

Results

[edit]
2022 Minnesota gubernatorial election[114][115]
Party Candidate Votes % ±%
Democratic (DFL)
1,312,349 52.27% −1.57%
Republican 1,119,941 44.61% +2.18%
Legal Marijuana Now
  • James McCaskel
  • David Sandbeck
29,346 1.17% N/A
Grassroots—LC
  • Steve Patterson
  • Matt Huff
22,599 0.90% −1.75%
Independence
  • Hugh McTavish
  • Mike Winter
18,156 0.72% N/A
Socialist Workers
  • Gabrielle Prosser
  • Kevin Dwire
7,241 0.29% N/A
Write-in 1,029 0.04% ±0.0%
Total votes 2,510,661 100.0%
Turnout 2,525,873 61.01%
Registered electors 4,140,218
Democratic (DFL) hold

By county

[edit]
By county
County Tim Walz
DFL
Scott Jensen
GOP
James McCaskel
LMN
Steve Patterson
GLC
Hugh McTavish
I-A
Gabrielle M. Prosser
SWP
Write-in Margin Total votes
% # % # % # % # % # % # % # % #
Aitkin 35.93% 3,030 60.59% 5,110 1.42% 120 1.06% 89 0.78% 66 0.23% 19 0.00% 0 −24.66% −2,080 8,434
Anoka 47.65% 74,515 48.97% 76,587 1.27% 1,985 1.02%' 1,600 0.76% 1,188 0.23% 361 0.05% 77 −1.33% −2,072 156,390
Becker 32.12% 4,738 64.31% 9,486 1.48% 219 0.95% 140 0.95% 140 0.14% 21 0.02% 3 −32.20% −4,748 14,750
Beltrami 44.90% 8,124 51.12% 9,248 1.66% 301 1.16% 209 0.76% 138 0.32% 58 0.04% 7 −6.22% −1,124 18,092
Benton 31.99% 5,244 64.02% 10,495 1.49% 245 1.19% 195 0.94% 154 0.29% 48 0.04% 6 −32.04% −5,251 16,393
Big Stone 35.40% 863 61.20% 1,492 1.56% 38 0.94% 23 0.70% 17 0.21% 5 0.00% 0 −25.80% −629 2,438
Blue Earth 51.98% 13,783 44.89% 11,904 1.00% 265 0.85% 225 0.88% 234 0.34% 89 0.03% 9 7.09% 1,879 26,518
Brown 33.59% 3,915 63.83% 7,439 0.85% 99 0.75% 87 0.70% 82 0.16% 19 0.06% 7 −30.25% −3,524 11,655
Carlton 49.74% 7,913 45.73% 7,274 1.82% 289 1.23% 196 1.09% 174 0.24% 38 0.08% 12 4.02% 639 15,908
Carver 45.89% 24,888 51.77% 28,078 0.72% 391 0.70% 381 0.70% 377 0.14% 74 0.05% 25 −5.88% −3,190 54,239
Cass 33.32% 5,071 63.25% 9,626 1.45% 220 1.10% 168 0.71% 108 0.14% 22 0.01% 2 −29.93% −4,555 15,219
Chippewa 33.98% 1,676 63.16% 3,115 0.81% 40 0.97% 48 0.85% 42 0.14% 7 0.04% 2 −29.19% −1,439 4,932
Chisago 35.95% 9,321 60.35% 15,647 1.28% 332 1.43% 371 0.78% 202 0.19% 48 0.02% 4 −24.40% −6,326 25,929
Clay 50.07% 11,139 45.84% 10,199 1.81% 402 0.99% 220 0.83% 185 0.40% 89 0.03% 7 4.23% 940 22,248
Clearwater 24.60% 879 71.37% 2,550 1.43% 51 1.34% 48 0.84% 30 0.20% 7 0.11% 4 −46.82% −1,671 3,573
Cook 67.36% 2,171 29.72% 958 0.84% 27 0.87% 28 0.87% 28 0.22% 7 0.06% 2 37.66% 1,213 3,223
Cottonwood 29.51% 1,363 66.83% 3,087 1.34% 62 1.02% 47 1.06% 49 0.24% 11 0.00% 0 −37.32% −1,724 4,619
Crow Wing 34.86% 11,388 61.80% 20,188 1.41% 459 0.99% 324 0.75% 246 0.13% 41 0.03% 10 −26.95% −8,800 32,666
Dakota 55.81% 112,003 41.47% 83,220 1.03% 2,061 0.71% 1,431 0.68% 1,365 0.22% 451 0.04% 82 14.35% 28,783 200,695
Dodge 34.88% 3,287 62.14% 5,855 0.88% 83 0.99% 93 0.89% 84 0.18% 17 0.02% 2 −27.26% −2,568 9,423
Douglas 32.25% 6,358 64.91% 12,797 1.02% 201 0.83% 164 0.82% 161 0.12% 23 0.03% 6 −32.67% −6,439 19,716
Faribault 33.17% 2,000 63.78% 3,846 1.11% 67 0.86% 52 0.88% 53 0.13% 8 0.03% 2 −30.62% −1,846 6,030
Fillmore 40.09% 3,809 57.17% 5,432 0.91% 86 0.94% 89 0.72% 68 0.17% 16 0.01% 1 −17.08% −1,623 9,502
Freeborn 41.04% 5,350 55.71% 7,262 1.31% 171 1.05% 137 0.75% 98 0.12% 15 0.01% 1 −14.67% −1,912 13,035
Goodhue 43.01% 9,940 53.69% 12,407 1.15% 266 1.03% 239 0.89% 205 0.18% 42 0.02% 5 −10.68% −2,467 23,109
Grant 35.66% 1,054 59.91% 1,771 1.52% 45 1.29% 38 1.25% 37 0.17% 5 0.10% 3 −24.28% −717 2,956
Hennepin 70.34% 405,013 26.81% 154,393 1.03% 5,939 0.72% 4,150 0.58% 3,326 0.42% 2,412 0.05% 296 43.55% 250,620 575,825
Houston 41.21% 3,604 55.73% 4,874 1.46% 128 0.79% 69 0.70% 61 0.10% 9 0.00% 0 −14.52% −1,270 8,745
Hubbard 34.47% 3,672 61.87% 6,590 1.46% 155 1.05% 112 0.99% 105 0.11% 12 0.03% 3 −27.40% −2,918 10,652
Isanti 30.63% 5,778 65.04% 12,271 1.70% 320 1.47% 277 0.93% 175 0.20% 37 0.02% 4 −34.42% −6,493 18,866
Itasca 42.17% 9,017 53.73% 11,488 1.65% 352 1.24% 265 0.94% 200 0.20% 43 0.04% 8 −11.56% −2,471 21,381
Jackson 29.59% 1,350 66.97% 3,055 1.12% 51 1.05% 48 0.99% 45 0.20% 9 0.04% 2 −37.39% −1,705 4,562
Kanabec 31.80% 2,277 63.99% 4,582 1.68% 120 1.58% 113 0.81% 58 0.13% 9 0.01% 1 −32.19% −2,305 7,161
Kandiyohi 35.20% 6,421 61.85% 11,281 1.12% 204 0.81% 148 0.77% 141 0.17% 31 0.04% 7 −26.65% −4,860 18,240
Kittson 35.77% 689 60.23% 1,160 1.92% 37 1.30% 25 0.67% 13 0.10% 2 0.00% 0 −24.45% −471 1,926
Koochiching 39.36% 2,058 56.47% 2,953 1.91% 100 1.07% 56 0.99% 52 0.11% 6 0.04% 2 −17.12% −895 5,229
Lac qui Parle 34.98% 1,102 61.43% 1,935 0.83% 26 1.37% 43 1.21% 38 0.19% 6 0.00% 0 −26.44% −833 3,150
Lake 52.46% 2,970 44.18% 2,501 1.27% 72 1.20% 68 0.62% 35 0.26% 15 0.00% 0 8.28% 469 5,661
Lake of the Woods 25.88% 473 70.95% 1,297 1.31% 24 0.77% 14 1.04% 19 0.05% 1 0.00% 0 −45.08% −824 1,828
Le Sueur 34.72% 4,591 61.89% 8,184 1.28% 169 1.06% 140 0.81% 107 0.14% 19 0.05% 7 −27.18% −3,593 13,224
Lincoln 29.09% 710 67.72% 1,653 1.31% 32 1.19% 29 0.49% 12 0.12% 3 0.04% 1 −38.65% −943 2,441
Lyon 33.29% 3,264 63.91% 6,267 0.98% 96 0.67% 66 0.88% 86 0.15% 15 0.06% 6 −30.64% −3,003 9,806
Mahnomen 39.48% 651 54.46% 898 2.18% 36 1.27% 21 2.06% 34 0.42% 7 0.06% 1 −14.99% −247 1,649
Marshall 23.45% 954 73.01% 2,970 1.23% 50 1.01% 41 1.06% 43 0.20% 8 0.02% 1 −49.57% −2,016 4,068
Martin 29.49% 2,471 67.37% 5,644 1.21% 101 0.97% 81 0.75% 63 0.12% 10 0.05% 4 −37.89% −3,173 8,378
McLeod 31.42% 5,171 65.42% 10,768 1.15% 190 0.88% 145 0.87% 143 0.22% 37 0.02% 3 −34.01% −5,597 16,460
Meeker 29.71% 3,214 67.01% 7,249 1.16% 125 1.00% 108 0.88% 95 0.18% 20 0.03% 3 −37.31% −4,035 10,817
Mille Lacs 30.59% 3,390 65.05% 7,209 1.59% 176 1.45% 161 1.02% 113 0.23% 25 0.04% 4 −34.47% −3,819 11,082
Morrison 22.32% 3,451 74.58% 11,529 1.18% 183 0.86% 133 0.85% 132 0.19% 29 0.01% 1 −52.26% −8,078 15,459
Mower 46.58% 6,573 49.91% 7,043 1.36% 192 1.20% 170 0.67% 94 0.28% 40 0.00% 0 −3.33% −470 14,112
Murray 26.83% 1,051 69.67% 2,729 1.23% 48 0.64% 25 1.25% 49 0.28% 11 0.05% 2 −42.86% −1,678 3,917
Nicollet 51.78% 7,929 45.46% 6,962 1.01% 154 0.65% 99 0.80% 122 0.25% 38 0.03% 5 6.32% 967 15,314
Nobles 30.48% 1,854 65.97% 4,013 1.43% 87 0.72% 44 1.12% 68 0.25% 15 0.02% 1 −35.50% −2,159 6,083
Norman 37.01% 929 57.69% 1,448 2.07% 52 1.31% 33 1.24% 31 0.20% 5 0.24% 6 −20.73% −519 2,510
Olmsted 55.00% 37,471 42.66% 29,068 0.85% 576 0.65% 445 0.60% 412 0.20% 136 0.02% 13 12.34% 8,403 68,134
Otter Tail 31.37% 8,950 65.26% 18,618 1.25% 358 0.97% 278 0.89% 254 0.16% 47 0.05% 13 −33.90% −9,668 28,531
Pennington 31.75% 1,734 63.42% 3,464 1.94% 106 1.08% 59 1.50% 82 0.27% 15 0.02% 1 −31.68% −1,730 5,462
Pine 34.61% 4,290 61.32% 7,601 1.70% 211 1.44% 178 0.73% 90 0.16% 20 0.02% 3 −26.72% −3,311 12,396
Pipestone 22.89% 872 74.01% 2,819 1.00% 38 0.97% 37 0.95% 36 0.18% 7 0.00% 0 −51.12% −1,947 3,809
Polk 31.08% 3,400 65.64% 7,180 1.35% 148 0.90% 98 0.73% 80 0.21% 23 0.05% 5 −34.57% −3,780 10,939
Pope 34.70% 1,970 62.50% 3,549 0.88% 50 0.76% 43 0.83% 47 0.16% 9 0.09% 5 −27.83% −1,579 5,678
Ramsey 71.42% 155,850 25.10% 54,771 1.20% 2,626 1.03% 2,247 0.61% 1,338 0.51% 1,118 0.06% 127 46.35% 101,079 218,204
Red Lake 30.13% 483 65.32% 1,047 1.87% 30 0.87% 14 1.50% 24 0.19% 3 0.06% 1 −35.21% −564 1,603
Redwood 26.37% 1,698 71.13% 4,581 1.10% 71 0.67% 43 0.54% 35 0.16% 10 0.02% 1 −44.77% −2,883 6,440
Renville 29.89% 1,883 66.55% 4,192 1.43% 90 1.11% 70 0.81% 51 0.14% 9 0.03% 2 −36.67% −2,309 6,299
Rice 50.21% 14,252 46.44% 13,182 1.24% 353 0.94% 267 0.69% 195 0.45% 127 0.01% 3 3.77% 1,070 28,382
Rock 27.51% 1,139 69.49% 2,877 0.99% 41 0.97% 40 0.82% 34 0.17% 7 0.02% 1 −41.99% −1,738 4,140
Roseau 23.61% 1,535 73.57% 4,783 1.08% 70 0.78% 51 J0.82% 53 0.14% 9 0.00% 0 −49.96% −3,248 6,501
Scott 45.40% 30,870 51.90% 35,289 1.05% 716 0.71% 484 0.66% 446 0.18% 124 0.05% 31 −6.50% −4,419 67,991
Sherburne 32.90% 13,697 63.70% 26,517 1.29% 537 1.06% 443 0.83% 345 0.18% 74 0.02% 8 −30.80% −12,820 41,629
Sibley 28.80% 1,907 68.24% 4,519 1.10% 73 0.82% 54 0.77% 51 0.21% 14 0.03% 2 −39.46% −2,612 6,622
St. Louis 57.66% 53,551 38.08% 35,372 1.74% 1,616 1.25% 1,159 0.83%' 769 0.36% 334 0.04% 39 19.58% 18,179 92,879
Stearns 36.88% 24,162 59.79% 39,171 1.17% 767 1.02% 665 0.83% 542 0.23% 151 0.04% 27 −22.92% −15,009 65,512
Steele 39.28% 6,498 57.33% 9,485 1.26% 208 1.06% 176 0.80% 133 0.21%' 34 0.03% 5 −18.06% −2,987 16,544
Stevens 36.93% 1,490 60.40% 2,437 0.89% 36 0.69% 28 0.69% 28 0.30% 12 0.05% 2 −23.48% −947 4,035
Swift 35.42% 1,389 61.42% 2,409 1.15% 45 0.84% 33 0.71% 28 0.20% 8 0.13% 5 −26.04% −1,020 3,922
Todd 24.39% 2,649 71.63% 7,780 1.48% 161 1.10% 120 1.08% 117 0.28% 30 0.02% 2 −47.25% −5,131 10,861
Traverse 33.51% 519 62.49% 968 1.55% 24 1.10% 17 1.10% 17 0.13% 2 0.06% 1 −29.01% −449 1,549
Wabasha 37.46% 4,020 59.32% 6,366 1.11% 119 0.89% 96 0.96% 103 0.24% 26 0.01% 1 −21.86% −2,346 10,732
Wadena 25.25% 1,511 71.20% 4,260 1.39% 83 1.12% 67 0.87% 52 0.17% 10 0.00% 0 −45.95% −2,749 5,983
Waseca 33.91% 2,843 62.16% 5,212 1.41% 118 1.12% 94 1.11% 93 0.25% 21 0.02% 2 −28.26% −2,369 8,385
Washington 54.15% 70,814 43.18% 56,472 0.93% 1,212 0.78% 1,019 0.68% 889 0.19% 254 0.04% 54 10.97% 14,342 130,768
Watonwan 37.35% 1,445 60.09% 2,325 1.06% 41 0.90% 35 0.44% 17 0.10% 4 0.03% 1 −22.75% −880 3,869
Wilkin 27.13% 704 68.71% 1,783 1.58% 41 0.89% 23 1.08% 28 0.39% 10 0.12% 3 −41.63% −1,079 2,595
Winona 48.35% 9,889 48.47% 9,913 1.22% 250 0.86% 176 0.78% 159 0.30% 62 0.00% 1 −0.12% −24 20,451
Wright 34.90% 23,116 61.88% 40,993 1.10% 729 1.01% 671 0.87% 579 0.17% 114 0.03% 21 −27.00% −17,877 66,244
Yellow Medicine 29.77% 1,299 66.90% 2,919 1.33% 58 0.99% 43 0.87% 38 0.05% 2 0.05% 2 −37.15% −1,620 4,363
Totals 52.25% 1,312,349 44.59% 1,119,941 1.17% 29,346 0.90% 22,599 0.72% 18,156 0.29% 7,241 0.04% 1,029 7.66% 192,408 2,511,690

Counties that flipped from Democratic to Republican

By congressional district

[edit]

Walz and Jensen each won 4 of 8 congressional districts, all of which voted for the same party in the simultaneous House Elections.[116]

District Walz Jensen Representative
1st 45% 52% Brad Finstad
2nd 53% 45% Angie Craig
3rd 59% 38% Dean Phillips
4th 68% 29% Betty McCollum
5th 81% 16% Ilhan Omar
6th 40% 57% Tom Emmer
7th 31% 65% Michelle Fischbach
8th 44% 52% Pete Stauber

See also

[edit]

Notes

[edit]
  1. ^ Calculated by taking the difference of 100% and all other candidates combined.
  2. ^ a b c d e f g h i Key:
    A – all adults
    RV – registered voters
    LV – likely voters
    V – unclear
  3. ^ McCaskel with 1.2%, Patterson with 0.9%, and Prosser with 0.4%
  4. ^ McCaskel (LMN) with 1.4%, Prosser (SW) with 1.0%, and Patterson (GLC) with 0.9%
  5. ^ McCaskel (LMN) with 1.2%, Prosser (SW) with 1.2%, and Patterson (GLC) with 0.6%
  6. ^ McCaskel with 1.4%, Patterson with 0.2%, and Prosser with 0.1%
  7. ^ "The candidate from either one of the legalize marijuana parties (Legal Marijuana Now or Grassroots Legalize Cannabis)"

Partisan clients

  1. ^ This poll was sponsored by KSTP-TV
  2. ^ a b This poll was sponsored by MinnPost
  3. ^ a b This poll was sponsored by Jensen's campaign
  4. ^ This poll was sponsored by McTavish's campaign

References

[edit]
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[edit]

Official campaign websites