FINANCIAL MATHS GROUP PROJECT
NAVIN BAFNA
ARVIND SHAH
ABAHAN BANERJEE
ABHISHEK CHANDRA
ABHISHEK DHAWAN
“Mathematics is the only science
where one never knows what one
is talking about nor whether what
is said is true” - Bertrand Russell
LET US GIVE A TRY !!!!!
SKEWNESS
AND
KURTOSIS
Defining Skewness
Skewness is the measure of asymmetry of the
distribution of a real valued random
variable. It is the standardized 3rd central
moment of a distribution
Positive Skewness indicates a long right tail
Negative Skewness indicates a long left tail
Zero Skewness indicates a symmetry around the mean
NORMAL DISTRIBUTION
NEGATIVE
SKEWNESS POSITIVE
CALCULATING SKEWNESS
Given a set of returns r, t = 1,2…..T
Where r and sˆ are the estimated average and standard deviation
SKEWNESS ADJUSTMENT
A gamma distribution is a SKEWNESS Number of SD measure to achieve 99%
better proxy for skewed
portfolios -2.83 3.99
-2.00 3.61
-1.00 3.03
-0.67 2.80
SYMMETRIC
0.00 2.33
(NORMAL DISTRIBUTION) 0.67 1.83
1.00 1.59
2.00 0.99
2.83 0.71
Example: Skewness
“Positively Skewed Distribution”
Suppose that we live in a neighborhood with 100 homes; 99 of them sell
for $ 100,000, and one sells for $ 1,000,[Link] median and the mode will
be $ 100,000, but the mean will be $ 109,000. Hence, the mean has been
"pulled" upward (to the right ) by the existence of one home (outlier) in the
neighborhood.
For a negatively skewed distribution , the mean is less than
the median , which is less than the mode. In this case, there
are large, negative outlier s which tend to “pull" the mean
downward (to the left ).
Spreadsheet - for Positively
Skewed Distribution…
DEFINING KURTOSIS
KURTOSIS is a a measure of the "peakedness" of
the probability distribution of a real-valued
random variable. Its the standardized fourth
central moment of a distribution.
Kurtosis for he normal distribution is 3
Positive excess kurtosis indicate flatness (Long, Fat Tails)
Negative excess kurtosis indicates peakedness
KURTOSIS
CALCULATING KURTOSIS
Example: Kurtosis
SOURCES
INTL CFA DERIVATIVE MODULE
CA MAFA MODULE
WIKIPEDIA
CASE STUDY ON MEASUREMENT
THANK YOU !!!
To
Prof. Mahendra Mehta